Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Kongsvinger
hodd
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Kristiansund
|
18 | 12 | 3 | 3 | +12 | 39 |
| 2 |
Sandefjord
|
18 | 11 | 2 | 5 | +11 | 35 |
| 3 |
Levanger
|
19 | 10 | 5 | 4 | +10 | 35 |
| 4 |
Kongsvinger
|
17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | +9 | 27 |
| 5 |
Strommen
|
18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | +1 | 27 |
| 6 |
Asane
|
18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | +5 | 26 |
| 7 |
Jerv
|
16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | +2 | 26 |
| 8 |
Mjondalen
|
17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | -1 | 26 |
| 9 |
Sandnes ULF
|
18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | +5 | 25 |
| 10 |
Ranheim
|
18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | -2 | 25 |
| 11 |
hodd
|
18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | -7 | 21 |
| 12 |
KFUM Oslo
|
18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | -7 | 19 |
| 13 |
Ull/Kisa
|
18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | -1 | 18 |
| 14 |
Fredrikstad
|
19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | -12 | 17 |
| 15 |
Raufoss
|
18 | 4 | 3 | 11 | -11 | 15 |
| 16 |
Bryne
|
18 | 2 | 6 | 10 | -14 | 12 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Sandefjord
Kongsvinger
Kongsvinger
Asane
Kongsvinger
Bryne
Mjondalen
Kongsvinger
Kongsvinger
Fredrikstad
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.