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OBOS-ligaen
Referee: C Moen
Strommen
T S U S T
2–2
Full-time
Øygarden
T U U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Strommen Øygarden
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,2
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
83%
33%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,0
3,5
Scored
1,5
1,2
Conceded
1,5
2,3
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-1,2
This season — OBOS-ligaen · 9/9 matches
Win Ø 22%
33%
11%
Points per game
1,1
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 61%
78%
44%
Both score Ø 62%
56%
67%
Average goals
2,9
4,1
Scored
1,2
1,6
Conceded
1,7
2,6
Goal diff per game
-0,4
-1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Strommen 11. · Øygarden 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Tromso 9 8 0 1 +12 24
2 Ranheim 9 7 0 2 +14 21
3 Sandnes ULF 9 5 2 2 -2 17
4 Sogndal 9 5 1 3 +6 16
5 Asane 9 4 2 3 +3 14
6 Stjørdals-Blink 9 4 2 3 +1 14
7 Grorud 9 4 1 4 +0 13
8 Jerv 9 2 6 1 +3 12
9 KFUM Oslo 9 3 3 3 +1 12
10 Lillestrom 9 3 3 3 -1 12
11 Strommen 9 3 1 5 -4 10
12 Raufoss 9 2 3 4 -2 9
13 Kongsvinger 9 2 2 5 -7 8
14 Ull/Kisa 9 1 4 4 -7 7
15 Øygarden 9 1 3 5 -9 6
16 Ham-Kam 9 0 3 6 -8 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Strommen Øygarden
8′
S. Bjørkkjær 1–0
own goal
2–0 B. Sandmoen
40′
Half-time 2–0
Y. Chaib 🔁
↦ W. Pozo-Venta
57′
K. Sellin 🔁
↦ H. Thun
57′
58′
🟨 E. H. Larsen
T. George 🔁
↦ S. Bjørkkjær
58′
3–0 M. Tvedte
59′
63′
🔁 E. Vetås
↦ A. Heggebø
64′
🔁 S. Marthinussen
↦ A. Fantoft
72′
🔁 B. Haugsdal
↦ P. Michael
73′
🔁 K. Spence
↦ P. Nergaard
M. Bjørlo 🔁
↦ M. Kaland
76′
81′
M. Andersen 3–1
93′
🔁 M. Abelsen
↦ M. Andersen
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Strommen

1 S. Lillevik
5 S. Bjørkkjær
2 M. Tvedte
21 J. Valberg
3 M. Olsen
20 M. Kaland
6 T. Naustdal
16 B. Sandmoen
14 H. Thun
9 W. Pozo-Venta
18 L. Nordås
Bench (9)
15 Y. Chaib
19 K. Sellin
17 T. George
11 M. Bjørlo
4 K. Jahr
8 S. Birkeland
10 M. Achrifi
22 M. Sjølstad
31 C. Buhake

Coach: O. Nesselquist

Øygarden

30 M. Berntzen
3 F. Flo
2 E. Larsen
20 M. Udeh
27 A. van der Spa
7 P. Nergaard
12 C. Ezeh
6 A. Fantoft
9 M. Andersen
17 P. Michael
19 A. Heggebø
Bench (7)
23 E. Vetås
8 S. Marthinussen
5 B. Haugsdal
11 K. Spence
10 M. Abelsen
1 B. Thomas
14 T. Økland

Coach: B. Lazaro

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

C Moen · 78 kamper i vår database

🟥 Red cards: 0,07 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.