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Championship
Referee: Andy Woolmer
1–0
Full-time
Middlesbrough
U S U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sheffield United Middlesbrough
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,8
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 58%
33%
83%
Average goals
2,8
2,7
Scored
1,8
1,7
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,7
This season — Championship · 31/30 matches
Win Ø 48%
52%
43%
Points per game
1,8
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 43%
58%
27%
Both score Ø 48%
52%
43%
Average goals
2,8
1,9
Scored
1,7
1,2
Conceded
1,1
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,6
+0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

56% Possession 44%
15 Shots 10
5 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 3
4 Goalkeeper saves 4
4 Corners 4
1 Offside 1
6 Free kicks against 14
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Sheffield United 2. · Middlesbrough 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Norwich 31 17 9 5 +21 60
2 Sheffield United 31 16 7 8 +19 55
3 West Brom 30 15 8 7 +22 53
4 Bristol City 31 15 8 8 +10 53
5 Leeds 29 15 7 7 +11 52
6 Middlesbrough 30 13 12 5 +12 51
7 Derby 28 14 8 6 +12 50
8 Birmingham 32 11 13 8 +9 46
9 Nott'm Forest 32 11 13 8 +8 46
10 Swansea 31 12 8 11 +4 44
11 Hull 32 12 8 12 +3 44
12 Aston Villa 30 10 13 7 +7 43
13 Blackburn 31 11 10 10 -5 43
14 Preston 31 10 10 11 +1 40
15 Sheffield Weds 31 10 10 11 -11 40
16 QPR 31 11 6 14 -8 39
17 Stoke 31 9 11 11 -7 38
18 Brentford 30 9 10 11 +6 37
19 Wigan 31 9 6 16 -14 33
20 Millwall 31 7 10 14 -11 31
21 Rotherham 32 5 13 14 -20 28
22 Reading 31 5 11 15 -12 26
23 Bolton 32 6 8 18 -26 26
24 Ipswich 31 3 9 19 -31 18

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sheffield United Middlesbrough
34′
🔁 S. Downing
↦ A. Flint
35′
🟨 Ryan Shotton
Oliver Norwood 🟨
38′
R. Stearman 🔁
↦ G. Baldock
45′
Half-time 0–0
G. Madine 🔁
↦ M. Duffy
46′
57′
🟨 Daniel Ayala
1–0 R. Stearman
O. Norwood
61′
64′
🟨 Daniel Ayala
64′
🟥 Daniel Ayala
67′
🔁 B. Assombalonga
↦ G. Saville
John Fleck 🟨
76′
81′
🔁 R. van La Parra
↦ J. Howson
P. Coutts 🔁
↦ B. Sharp
87′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Sheffield United

3-4-1-2
1 D. Henderson G
28 M. Cranie D
3 E. Stevens M
2 G. Baldock M
12 J. Egan D
4 J. Fleck M
21 M. Duffy M
16 O. Norwood M
8 K. Dowell M
17 D. McGoldrick F
10 B. Sharp F
Bench (7)
19 R. Stearman
14 G. Madine
15 P. Coutts
25 S. Moore
20 K. Bryan
7 J. Lundstram
11 S. Hogan

Coach: C. Wilder

Middlesbrough

3-4-2-1
23 D. Randolph G
5 R. Shotton D
3 G. Friend D
4 Daniel Ayala D
24 A. Flint D
2 J. Obi Mikel M
16 J. Howson M
22 G. Saville M
20 D. Fry D
26 L. Wing M
11 J. Hugill F
Bench (7)
19 S. Downing
9 B. Assombalonga
29 R. van La Parra
37 M. Bešić
8 A. Clayton
18 A. Fletcher
1 D. Konstantopoulos

Coach: T. Pulis

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Andy Woolmer · 45 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,6 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
17,0 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,07 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.