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Championship
Referee: Tim Robinson
Reading
T U T T U
1–4
Full-time
Swansea
S S T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Reading Swansea
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
0,5
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
17%
83%
Both score Ø 58%
33%
83%
Average goals
1,7
3,5
Scored
0,5
1,7
Conceded
1,2
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,2
This season — Championship · 25/25 matches
Win Ø 26%
16%
36%
Points per game
0,8
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
52%
56%
Both score Ø 54%
56%
52%
Average goals
2,6
2,4
Scored
1,1
1,2
Conceded
1,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,4
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–3

58% Possession 42%
16 Shots 8
5 Shots on target 5
7 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
7 Corners 1
4 Offside 4
13 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Reading 23. · Swansea 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Leeds 24 14 6 4 +15 48
2 Norwich 25 14 6 5 +14 48
3 West Brom 24 13 6 5 +21 45
4 Sheffield United 25 13 5 7 +14 44
5 Middlesbrough 25 11 9 5 +10 42
6 Derby 24 12 6 6 +9 42
7 Birmingham 25 9 11 5 +10 38
8 QPR 25 11 5 9 -1 38
9 Aston Villa 24 9 9 6 +9 36
10 Nott'm Forest 25 8 12 5 +8 36
11 Bristol City 25 9 8 8 +2 35
12 Stoke 25 8 11 6 +1 35
13 Swansea 25 9 6 10 +1 33
14 Hull 25 9 6 10 -3 33
15 Blackburn 25 7 10 8 -9 31
16 Sheffield Weds 25 8 7 10 -10 31
17 Preston 25 7 8 10 -4 29
18 Brentford 25 6 9 10 +0 27
19 Wigan 25 7 5 13 -12 26
20 Millwall 25 6 7 12 -9 25
21 Bolton 25 5 7 13 -15 22
22 Rotherham 25 4 10 11 -17 22
23 Reading 25 4 8 13 -10 20
24 Ipswich 25 2 9 14 -24 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

27. Oct -18 Swansea – Reading 2–0

Match report

Reading Swansea
2′
O. McBurnie 0–1
K. Naughton
30′
C. Roberts 0–2
45′
M. van der Hoorn 0–3
M. Grimes
Half-time 0–4
48′
O. McBurnie 0–4
53′
🟨 Connor Roberts
J. Böðvarsson 🔁
↦ Y. Meïté
61′
D. Loader 🔁
↦ S. Aluko
61′
Tiago Ilori 🟨
67′
C. Harriott 🔁
↦ G. McCleary
72′
73′
🔁 C. Baker-Richardson
↦ O. McBurnie
Modou Barrow 🟨
75′
1–4 C. Harriott
D. Loader
77′
85′
🔁 J. Fulton
↦ N. Dyer
88′
🔁 C. Carter-Vickers
↦ W. Routledge
Full-time 1–4

Line-ups

Reading

4-2-3-1
31 A. Jaakkola G
4 J. O'Shea D
20 Tiago Ilori D
27 O. Richards D
14 S. Aluko M
3 A. Yiadom D
10 J. Swift M
21 Y. Meïté M
35 A. Rinomhota M
12 G. McCleary M
17 M. Barrow M
Bench (7)
23 J. Böðvarsson
43 D. Loader
15 C. Harriott
6 L. Moore
28 S. Walker
47 G. Osho
38 L. Kelly

Coach: José Gomes

Swansea

4-2-3-1
25 E. Mulder G
26 K. Naughton D
5 M. van der Hoorn D
22 J. Rodon D
15 W. Routledge F
12 N. Dyer M
8 L. Fer M
21 M. Grimes M
23 C. Roberts M
10 B. Celina M
9 O. McBurnie F
Bench (7)
46 C. Baker-Richardson
27 J. Fulton
17 C. Carter-Vickers
7 J. Montero
19 B. McKay
1 K. Nordfeldt
20 D. James

Coach: G. Potter

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Tim Robinson · 110 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.