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Championship
Referee: Paul Tierney
Barnsley
T T U T T
0–2
Full-time
Newcastle
T U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Barnsley Newcastle
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
0,7
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,3
3,7
Scored
1,5
2,5
Conceded
1,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+1,3
This season — Championship · 12/12 matches
Win Ø 55%
42%
67%
Points per game
1,3
2,1
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
75%
42%
Both score Ø 55%
67%
42%
Average goals
3,6
3,0
Scored
1,9
2,1
Conceded
1,7
0,9
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+1,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

49% Possession 51%
8 Shots 17
2 Shots on target 6
1 Blocked shots 5
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
0 Corners 4
1 Offside 6
18 Free kicks against 12
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Barnsley 11. · Newcastle 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Norwich 12 8 2 2 +8 26
2 Newcastle 12 8 1 3 +14 25
3 Huddersfield 11 8 1 2 +6 25
4 Brighton 12 6 4 2 +7 22
5 Bristol City 12 6 2 4 +6 20
6 Birmingham 12 5 5 2 +3 20
7 Reading 12 5 4 3 -3 19
8 Brentford 12 5 3 4 +7 18
9 Fulham 12 4 5 3 -1 17
10 Sheffield Weds 11 5 2 4 -1 17
11 Barnsley 12 5 1 6 +3 16
12 Wolves 12 4 4 4 +1 16
13 Leeds 12 5 1 6 -2 16
14 QPR 12 4 4 4 -3 16
15 Nott'm Forest 12 4 3 5 -1 15
16 Burton Albion 12 3 5 4 +0 14
17 Ipswich 12 3 5 4 -1 14
18 Preston 12 4 2 6 -2 14
19 Derby 12 3 4 5 -3 13
20 Aston Villa 12 1 8 3 -2 11
21 Cardiff 12 3 2 7 -10 11
22 Wigan 12 2 4 6 -2 10
23 Blackburn 12 2 3 7 -8 9
24 Rotherham 12 1 3 8 -16 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Barnsley Newcastle
Conor Hourihane 🟨
38′
40′
🟨 Jamaal Lascelles
Half-time 0–1
49′
D. Gayle 0–1
68′
D. Gayle 0–2
M. Ritchie
E. Lee 🔁
↦ M. Watkins
71′
T. Bradshaw 🔁
↦ A. Hammill
71′
74′
🟨 Jonjo Shelvey
C. Kpekawa 🔁
↦ J. Bree
83′
83′
🔁 C. Atsu
↦ M. Ritchie
92′
🔁 J. Colback
↦ M. Diamé
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Barnsley

4-4-2
1 A. Davies G
18 A. Jackson D
4 M. Roberts D
2 J. Bree D
7 A. Hammill M
15 M. Watkins M
8 C. Hourihane M
29 Sam Morsy M
17 A. Yiadom D
40 R. Kent M
9 S. Winnall F
Bench (7)
11 E. Lee
20 T. Bradshaw
19 C. Kpekawa
37 J. Bird
13 N. Townsend
28 R. Williams
5 A. MacDonald

Coach: P. Heckingbottom

Newcastle

4-2-3-1
26 K. Darlow G
2 C. Clark D
6 J. Lascelles D
3 P. Dummett D
14 I. Hayden M
20 Y. Gouffran M
8 V. Anita M
12 J. Shelvey M
15 M. Diamé M
11 M. Ritchie M
9 D. Gayle F
Bench (7)
30 C. Atsu
4 J. Colback
7 A. Lazaar
17 Ayoze Pérez
22 D. Yedlin
28 M. Sels
45 A. Mitrović

Coach: Rafael Benítez

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Paul Tierney · 126 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
20,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,09 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.