Championship
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Brighton
Wolves
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 1–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Norwich
|
12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | +8 | 26 |
| 2 |
Newcastle
|
12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | +14 | 25 |
| 3 |
Huddersfield
|
11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | +6 | 25 |
| 4 |
Brighton
|
12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | +7 | 22 |
| 5 |
Bristol City
|
12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | +6 | 20 |
| 6 |
Birmingham
|
12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | +3 | 20 |
| 7 |
Reading
|
12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | -3 | 19 |
| 8 |
Brentford
|
12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | +7 | 18 |
| 9 |
Fulham
|
12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | -1 | 17 |
| 10 |
Sheffield Weds
|
11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | -1 | 17 |
| 11 |
Barnsley
|
12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | +3 | 16 |
| 12 |
Wolves
|
12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | +1 | 16 |
| 13 |
Leeds
|
12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | -2 | 16 |
| 14 |
QPR
|
12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | -3 | 16 |
| 15 |
Nott'm Forest
|
12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | -1 | 15 |
| 16 |
Burton Albion
|
12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | +0 | 14 |
| 17 |
Ipswich
|
12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | -1 | 14 |
| 18 |
Preston
|
12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | -2 | 14 |
| 19 |
Derby
|
12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | -3 | 13 |
| 20 |
Aston Villa
|
12 | 1 | 8 | 3 | -2 | 11 |
| 21 |
Cardiff
|
12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | -10 | 11 |
| 22 |
Wigan
|
12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 10 |
| 23 |
Blackburn
|
12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -8 | 9 |
| 24 |
Rotherham
|
12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | -16 | 6 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
L. Dunk
D
Coach: C. Hughton
D. Batth
D
M. Doherty
M
Coach: W. Zenga
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Brighton
Preston
Sheffield Weds
Brighton
Ipswich
Brighton
Brighton
Barnsley
Burton Albion
Brighton
Keith Stroud · 103 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.