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Championship
Referee: Keith Stroud
Brighton
S S U S U
1–0
Full-time
Wolves
S S T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Brighton Wolves
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,3
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
1,8
3,0
Scored
1,3
1,3
Conceded
0,5
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-0,3
This season — Championship · 12/12 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,8
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 46%
42%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
25%
58%
Average goals
2,1
2,6
Scored
1,3
1,3
Conceded
0,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,6
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

48% Possession 52%
9 Shots 11
3 Shots on target 4
1 Blocked shots 2
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
9 Corners 10
0 Offside 1
14 Free kicks against 11
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Brighton 4. · Wolves 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Norwich 12 8 2 2 +8 26
2 Newcastle 12 8 1 3 +14 25
3 Huddersfield 11 8 1 2 +6 25
4 Brighton 12 6 4 2 +7 22
5 Bristol City 12 6 2 4 +6 20
6 Birmingham 12 5 5 2 +3 20
7 Reading 12 5 4 3 -3 19
8 Brentford 12 5 3 4 +7 18
9 Fulham 12 4 5 3 -1 17
10 Sheffield Weds 11 5 2 4 -1 17
11 Barnsley 12 5 1 6 +3 16
12 Wolves 12 4 4 4 +1 16
13 Leeds 12 5 1 6 -2 16
14 QPR 12 4 4 4 -3 16
15 Nott'm Forest 12 4 3 5 -1 15
16 Burton Albion 12 3 5 4 +0 14
17 Ipswich 12 3 5 4 -1 14
18 Preston 12 4 2 6 -2 14
19 Derby 12 3 4 5 -3 13
20 Aston Villa 12 1 8 3 -2 11
21 Cardiff 12 3 2 7 -10 11
22 Wigan 12 2 4 6 -2 10
23 Blackburn 12 2 3 7 -8 9
24 Rotherham 12 1 3 8 -16 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Brighton Wolves
1–0 S. Baldock
G. Bong
14′
21′
🟨 Danny Batth
34′
🟨 Dominic Iorfa
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 J. Böðvarsson
↦ C. Coady
46′
🔁 Ivan Cavaleiro
↦ P. Oniangué
Steve Sidwell 🟨
49′
68′
🔁 João Teixeira
↦ N. Dicko
C. Goldson 🔁
↦ Bruno Saltor
80′
D. Stephens 🔁
↦ S. Baldock
83′
Lewis Dunk 🟨
90′
90′
🟨 Jón Daði Böðvarsson
S. Pocognoli 🔁
↦ A. Knockaert
91′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Brighton

4-4-2
13 D. Stockdale
3 G. Bong D
2 Bruno Saltor D
22 S. Duffy D
5 L. Dunk D
14 S. Sidwell M
21 O. Norwood M
8 J. Skalák M
11 A. Knockaert M
17 G. Murray F
9 S. Baldock F
Bench (7)
18 C. Goldson
6 D. Stephens
12 S. Pocognoli
1 N. Mäenpää
15 J. Murphy
19 E. Manu
24 R. Ince

Coach: C. Hughton

Wolves

4-5-1
1 C. Ikeme G
6 D. Batth D
2 M. Doherty M
30 K. Hause D
18 D. Iorfa D
4 D. Edwards M
20 P. Oniangué M
17 Hélder Costa F
16 C. Coady D
27 R. Saïss M
9 N. Dicko F
Bench (7)
22 J. Böðvarsson
50 Ivan Cavaleiro
24 João Teixeira
5 R. Stearman
8 G. Saville
12 J. Wallace
21 A. Lonergan

Coach: W. Zenga

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Keith Stroud · 103 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
19,4 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.