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Championship
Referee: Peter Bankes
Rotherham
T T S T U
2–2
Full-time
Nott'm Forest
T T S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rotherham Nott'm Forest
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,8
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 83%
83%
83%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
3,2
4,3
Scored
0,8
2,2
Conceded
2,3
2,2
Goal diff per game
-1,5
+0,0
This season — Championship · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,8
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 83%
83%
83%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
3,2
4,3
Scored
0,8
2,2
Conceded
2,3
2,2
Goal diff per game
-1,5
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

37% Possession 63%
14 Shots 23
4 Shots on target 7
7 Blocked shots 8
5 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 8
4 Offside 0
9 Free kicks against 10
4 Yellow cards 3
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Rotherham 22. · Nott'm Forest 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Huddersfield 7 5 1 1 +4 16
2 Newcastle 7 5 0 2 +12 15
3 Barnsley 7 5 0 2 +9 15
4 Norwich 7 4 2 1 +3 14
5 Birmingham 7 3 3 1 +3 12
6 Fulham 7 3 3 1 +2 12
7 Brighton 7 3 2 2 +3 11
8 Ipswich 7 3 2 2 +1 11
9 Sheffield Weds 7 3 2 2 -1 11
10 Reading 7 3 2 2 -2 11
11 Brentford 6 3 1 2 +3 10
12 Bristol City 7 3 1 3 +1 10
13 Nott'm Forest 6 3 1 2 +0 10
14 QPR 7 3 1 3 -3 10
15 Burton Albion 7 2 3 2 +1 9
16 Wolves 7 2 3 2 -1 9
17 Leeds 7 2 1 4 -4 7
18 Aston Villa 6 1 3 2 +0 6
19 Preston 7 2 0 5 +0 6
20 Derby 7 1 2 4 -5 5
21 Cardiff 7 1 2 4 -6 5
22 Rotherham 6 1 2 3 -9 5
23 Wigan 7 1 1 5 -2 4
24 Blackburn 7 0 2 5 -9 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Rotherham Nott'm Forest
1–0 J. Taylor
I. Brown
30′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 M. Mancienne
↦ D. Perquis
58′
🟨 Ben Osborn
59′
🔁 N. Bendtner
↦ N. Dumitru
64′
🟨 Henri Lansbury
J. Yates 🔁
↦ D. Ward
69′
Darnell Fisher 🟨
74′
76′
M. Mills 1–1
H. Lansbury
L. Frecklington 🔁
↦ T. Adeyemi
82′
Darnell Fisher 🟨
83′
Darnell Fisher 🟥
83′
S. Kelly 🔁
↦ J. Yates
84′
84′
🔁 Licá
↦ J. Grant
85′
A. Vellios 1–2
2–2 J. Taylor
L. Frecklington
87′
Isaiah Brown 🟨
89′
Joe Mattock 🟨
89′
90′
🟨 Eric Lichaj
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Rotherham

4-4-2
1 L. Camp G
15 G. Halford M
16 K. Wilson D
3 J. Mattock D
17 D. Fisher D
18 D. Fry D
24 T. Adeyemi M
11 J. Taylor M
21 S. Allan M
9 D. Ward F
37 I. Brown M
Bench (7)
39 J. Yates
8 L. Frecklington
2 S. Kelly
7 A. Forde
12 L. Price
14 D. Ball
4 W. Vaulks

Coach: A. Stubbs

Nott'm Forest

4-3-3
38 V. Stojković G
27 D. Perquis M
5 M. Mills D
6 A. Traoré D
2 E. Lichaj D
37 J. Grant M
10 H. Lansbury M
22 P. Kasami M
11 B. Osborn M
39 A. Vellios F
12 N. Dumitru F
Bench (7)
4 M. Mancienne
14 N. Bendtner
20 Licá
48 A. Ahmedhodzic
43 J. Smith
13 D. Fox
18 M. Carayol

Coach: P. Montanier

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Peter Bankes · 118 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
21,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.