Championship
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Huddersfield
Rotherham
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 1–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Brighton
|
19 | 11 | 8 | 0 | +11 | 41 |
| 2 |
Middlesbrough
|
20 | 12 | 4 | 4 | +17 | 40 |
| 3 |
Hull
|
19 | 11 | 5 | 3 | +18 | 38 |
| 4 |
Derby
|
19 | 9 | 8 | 2 | +13 | 35 |
| 5 |
Burnley
|
20 | 9 | 8 | 3 | +7 | 35 |
| 6 |
Ipswich
|
20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | +2 | 31 |
| 7 |
Cardiff
|
20 | 7 | 9 | 4 | +4 | 30 |
| 8 |
Sheffield Weds
|
19 | 7 | 8 | 4 | +3 | 29 |
| 9 |
Birmingham
|
20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | +3 | 29 |
| 10 |
Brentford
|
20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | +1 | 29 |
| 11 |
Blackburn
|
21 | 6 | 10 | 5 | +4 | 28 |
| 12 |
Reading
|
20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | +3 | 27 |
| 13 |
QPR
|
20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 27 |
| 14 |
Wolves
|
20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | +0 | 25 |
| 15 |
Nott'm Forest
|
21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | +0 | 25 |
| 16 |
Preston
|
20 | 5 | 9 | 6 | +0 | 24 |
| 17 |
Fulham
|
20 | 5 | 8 | 7 | -2 | 23 |
| 18 |
Leeds
|
20 | 5 | 8 | 7 | -4 | 23 |
| 19 |
Bristol City
|
20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | -13 | 19 |
| 20 |
Huddersfield
|
20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | -10 | 18 |
| 21 |
Charlton
|
20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | -15 | 17 |
| 22 |
Milton Keynes Dons
|
20 | 4 | 4 | 12 | -12 | 16 |
| 23 |
Rotherham
|
20 | 4 | 3 | 13 | -14 | 15 |
| 24 |
Bolton
|
20 | 1 | 9 | 10 | -15 | 12 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
B. Chilwell
D
J. Newell
M
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Huddersfield
Bristol City
Birmingham
Huddersfield
Huddersfield
Middlesbrough
Sheffield Weds
Huddersfield
Huddersfield
Leeds
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.