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Eliteserien
Referee: Trygve Kjensli
Haugesund
S U T T U
5–1
Full-time
Tromso
S S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Haugesund Tromso
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
1,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
2,7
2,5
Scored
1,2
1,2
Conceded
1,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,2
This season — Eliteserien · 14/14 matches
Win Ø 33%
29%
36%
Points per game
1,2
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
43%
57%
Both score Ø 57%
57%
57%
Average goals
2,6
2,6
Scored
1,4
1,0
Conceded
1,2
1,6
Goal diff per game
+0,1
-0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–1

53% Possession 47%
22 Shots 5
8 Shots on target 1
0 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
7 Corners 5
1 Offside 0
8 Free kicks against 9
0 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Haugesund 9. · Tromso 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Molde 15 9 3 3 +20 30
2 Bodo/Glimt 14 9 2 3 +10 29
3 Odd 14 9 2 3 +7 29
4 Valerenga 14 7 3 4 +10 24
5 Rosenborg 15 7 3 5 +2 24
6 Brann 15 6 5 4 +2 23
7 Kristiansund 14 6 3 5 +2 21
8 Viking 14 5 4 5 -3 19
9 Haugesund 14 4 5 5 +2 17
10 Tromso 14 5 1 8 -9 16
11 Lillestrom 14 4 3 7 -7 15
12 Ranheim 15 4 3 8 -9 15
13 Stabaek 13 4 2 7 -6 14
14 Mjondalen 14 2 7 5 -6 13
15 Sarpsborg 08 13 2 6 5 -4 12
16 Stromsgodset 14 2 4 8 -11 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Haugesund Tromso
Douglas Bergqvist 🔁
↦ Fredrik Knudsen
22′
1–0 Ibrahima Kone
31′
37′
Robert Taylor 1–1
Kent-Are Antonsen
38′
🟨 Kent-Are Antonsen
2–1 Benjamin Hansen
39′
41′
🟨 Onni Valakari
42′
🟨 Juha Pirinen
2–2 Jakob Karlstrom
own goal
45′
Half-time 3–2
3–2 Torbjorn Kallevag
Thore Baardsen Pedersen
63′
63′
🔁 Mushaga Bakenga
↦ Magnus Andersen
Ikenna Anthony Ikedi 🔁
↦ Christian Grindheim
76′
Kristoffer Velde 🔁
↦ Thore Baardsen Pedersen
79′
4–2 Ibrahima Kone
86′
86′
🔁 Bryan Fiabema
↦ Jostein Gundersen
Full-time 4–2

Line-ups

Haugesund

4-3-3
12 Helge Sandvik G
19 Mikkel Desler D
4 Fredrik Knudsen D
5 Benjamin Hansen D
23 Thore Baardsen Pedersen D
7 Christian Grindheim M
8 Sondre Trondstad M
16 Bruno Leite M
14 Torbjorn Kallevag F
20 Ibrahima Kone F
10 Niklas Sandberg F
Bench (7)
1 Maciej Gostomski
2 Douglas Bergqvist
35 Ikenna Anthony Ikedi
33 Kristoffer Velde
11 Martin Samuelsen
34 Kevin Martin Krygard
36 Eric Ndayisenga

Coach: J. Grindhaug

Tromso

5-4-1
28 Jakob Karlstrom G
6 Juha Pirinen D
26 Jostein Gundersen D
22 Simen Wangberg D
3 Kent-Are Antonsen D
25 Lasse Nilsen D
15 Magnus Andersen M
7 Morten Gamst Pedersen M
18 Onni Valakari M
17 Daniel Berntsen M
11 Robert Taylor F
Bench (4)
31 Erlend Jacobsen
8 Oliver Kjaergaard
42 Mushaga Bakenga
36 Bryan Fiabema

Coach: S. Valakari

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Trygve Kjensli · 72 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,7 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,06 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.