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Premier League
Referee: Anthony Taylor
Watford
S S S S U
1–2
Full-time
Tottenham
U U T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Watford Tottenham
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,2
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,0
2,5
Scored
2,0
1,8
Conceded
1,0
0,7
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+1,2
This season — Premier League · 18/18 matches
Win Ø 44%
44%
44%
Points per game
1,6
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 44%
44%
44%
Both score Ø 48%
39%
56%
Average goals
2,3
2,5
Scored
1,3
1,7
Conceded
1,0
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,9
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

37% Possession 63%
9 Shots 10
1 Shots on target 3
4 Blocked shots 0
1 Goalkeeper saves 0
5 Corners 3
2 Offside 1
0 Free kicks against 0
4 Yellow cards 2
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Watford 7. · Tottenham 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Leicester 18 11 5 2 +12 38
2 Arsenal 18 11 3 4 +13 36
3 Man City 18 11 2 5 +17 35
4 Tottenham 18 8 8 2 +17 32
5 Crystal Palace 18 9 3 6 +7 30
6 Man United 18 8 5 5 +6 29
7 Watford 18 8 5 5 +5 29
8 Liverpool 18 7 6 5 -1 27
9 Everton 18 6 8 4 +8 26
10 West Ham 18 6 8 4 +4 26
11 Stoke 18 7 5 6 +0 26
12 Southampton 18 6 6 6 +4 24
13 West Brom 18 5 5 8 -7 20
14 Bournemouth 18 5 5 8 -10 20
15 Chelsea 18 5 4 9 -6 19
16 Swansea 18 4 6 8 -8 18
17 Norwich 18 4 5 9 -12 17
18 Newcastle 18 4 5 9 -14 17
19 Sunderland 18 3 3 12 -18 12
20 Aston Villa 18 1 5 12 -17 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Watford Tottenham
6′
🟨 Dele Alli
17′
E. Lamela 0–1
H. Kane
1–1 O. Ighalo
T. Deeney
41′
45′
🔁 C. Eriksen
↦ M. Dembélé
Half-time 1–1
V. Behrami 🔁
↦ A. Abdi
46′
Miguel Britos 🟨
52′
José Jurado 🟨
58′
S. Prödl 🔁
↦ M. Britos
60′
Nathan Aké 🟥
63′
Troy Deeney 🟨
64′
Odion Ighalo 🟨
65′
A. Nyom 🔁
↦ José Jurado
68′
68′
🔁 Heung-Min Son
↦ T. Carroll
81′
🟨 Toby Alderweireld
81′
🔁 N. Chadli
↦ D. Alli
89′
Heung-Min Son 1–2
K. Trippier
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Watford

1 Gomes G
3 M. Britos D
15 C. Cathcart D
16 N. Aké D
7 José Jurado M
22 A. Abdi M
23 B. Watson M
29 E. Capoue M
21 I. Anya D
24 O. Ighalo F
9 T. Deeney F
Bench (7)
8 V. Behrami
5 S. Prödl
2 A. Nyom
17 A. Guédioura
25 J. Holebas
32 A. Diamanti
34 G. Arlauskis

Tottenham

1 H. Lloris G
5 J. Vertonghen D
3 D. Rose M
4 T. Alderweireld D
16 K. Trippier M
15 E. Dier D
19 M. Dembélé M
11 E. Lamela F
28 T. Carroll M
20 D. Alli F
10 H. Kane F
Bench (7)
23 C. Eriksen
7 Heung-Min Son
22 N. Chadli
2 K. Walker
8 R. Mason
13 M. Vorm
33 B. Davies

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Anthony Taylor · 162 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
18,2 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.