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Conference League
Referee: V Spasjonnikovs
The New Saints
T T T T T
1–0
Full-time
Flora Tallinn
T T T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

The New Saints Flora Tallinn
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
0%
17%
Points per game
0,0
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
33%
83%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
1,8
3,2
Scored
0,3
1,2
Conceded
1,5
2,0
Goal diff per game
-1,2
-0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
0%
100%
Points per game
0,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 0%
0%
0%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
1,0
1,0
Scored
0,0
1,0
Conceded
1,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Recent head-to-head meetings

23. Jul -26 Flora Tallinn – The New Saints 1–0

Match report

The New Saints Flora Tallinn
Jordan Williams 🟨
16′
20′
🔁 I. Antonov
↦ S. Tovstik
41′
🟨 Ilja Antonov
Half-time 0–0
Rhys Hughes 🟨
65′
R. Brobbel 🔁
↦ R. Holden
66′
I. Jefferies 🔁
↦ L. Smith
66′
66′
🔁 R. Alliku
↦ S. Alamaa
80′
🔁 R. Veering
↦ D. Kuraksin
80′
🔁 T. Teevali
↦ V. Kreida
B. Clark 🔁
↦ E. Farrell
81′
B. Wilson 🔁
↦ J. Williams
81′
Daniel Williams 🟨
86′
J. Lock 🔁
↦ R. Hughes
87′
1–0 B. Wilson ⚽
J. Bodenham
90′
92′
🟨 Sergei Zenjov
Daniel Redmond 🟨
97′
Dynel Simeu 🟨
102′
Z. Nolan 🔁
↦ D. Redmond
106′
106′
🔁 T. Usta
↦ R. Sappinen
110′
🔁 M. Kalimullin
↦ S. Zenjov
Danny Davies 🟨
121′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

The New Saints

4-2-3-1
1 N. Shepperd G
22 D. Davies D
16 D. Simeu D
6 J. Bodenham D
10 D. Redmond M
15 E. Farrell M
14 D. Williams D
18 R. Holden M
21 L. Smith M
20 R. Hughes M
17 J. Williams F
Bench (12)
30 J. Edwards
4 D. Corness
8 R. Brobbel
12 H. Godsmark-Ford
19 B. Clark
23 Z. Nolan
31 B. Woollam
34 J. Lock
37 I. Jefferies
7 D. Barton
26 L. Phillips
28 B. Wilson

Coach: Craig Harrison

Flora Tallinn

4-4-2
33 E. Grunvald G
7 D. Kuraksin M
3 A. Kollo D
23 M. Kolobov D
26 S. Tovstik D
20 S. Zenjov M
14 T. Varjund M
32 V. Kreida M
29 S. Alamaa M
11 R. Sappinen F
18 R. Valdmets M
Bench (11)
22 A. Tatrik
99 K. Kivila
6 R. Veering
8 T. Teevali
9 R. Alliku
17 T. Usta
24 O. Pihela
51 M. Kukkonen
53 R. Sammul
67 I. Antonov
89 M. Kalimullin

Coach: Konstantin Vasiliev

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

V Spasjonnikovs · 10 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,7 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
13,9 / match
Below average

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.