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Conference League
Referee: D Shurman
1–1
Full-time
Panevėžys
T T T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

FK Tobol Kostanay Panevėžys
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
17%
0%
Points per game
0,7
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,2
2,5
Scored
0,8
0,5
Conceded
2,3
2,0
Goal diff per game
-1,5
-1,5
This season — Conference League · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
1,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 0%
0%
0%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
2,0
2,0
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match report

FK Tobol Kostanay Panevėžys
Maksim Myakish 🟨
31′
33′
N. Petkevicius 0–1
I. Asante
34′
🟨 Matas Ramanauskas
35′
🔁 R. Rasimavicius
↦ I. Asante
1–1 A. Talal
I. Chesnokov
45′
Half-time 1–1
52′
🟨 Valdas Paulauskas
57′
🟨 Kwadwo Asamoah
L. Guerra 🔁
↦ U. Milovanovic
63′
65′
🔁 M. Bacanin
↦ N. Petkevicius
65′
🔁 O. Kurtsev
↦ V. Paulauskas
R. Asrankulov 🔁
↦ A. Borsic
77′
A. Cisse 🔁
↦ M. Myakish
77′
84′
🔁 M. van den Bos
↦ K. Asamoah
84′
🔁 J. Bopesu
↦ P. Bizoza
Luis Guerra 🟨
90′
D. Zhumat 🔁
↦ A. Zuev
98′
N. Cavnic 🔁
↦ R. Senhadji
106′
106′
🔁 S. Kouadio
↦ D. Balsys
E. Musaev 🔁
↦ N. Zhagorov
115′
118′
🟨 Miano van den Bos
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

FK Tobol Kostanay

4-2-3-1
44 D. Ustimenko G
21 N. Zhagorov M
72 R. Senhadji D
5 P. Ndiaye D
25 A. Borsic D
8 A. Tagybergen M
6 M. Myakish M
10 I. Chesnokov M
14 A. Talal M
17 A. Zuev M
18 U. Milovanovic F
Bench (11)
1 S. Busurmanov
35 Y. Melikhov
3 R. Asrankulov
4 N. Cavnic
13 A. Cisse
19 D. Zhumat
22 A. Marochkin
30 L. Guerra
34 S. Bakhytkiriev
56 E. Musaev
57 A. Zinadin

Coach: Miroslav Romashchenko

Panevėžys

4-3-3
1 V. Cerniauskas G
28 E. Burdzilauskas F
13 S. Kerkez D
33 S. Keita D
66 D. Balsys D
77 P. Bizoza M
6 M. Ramanauskas M
34 I. Asante M
27 K. Asamoah M
24 N. Petkevicius F
79 V. Paulauskas M
Bench (11)
12 L. Valius
22 A. Brazinskas
4 R. Mzoughi
5 M. van den Bos
8 S. Kouadio
15 J. Janusevskis
16 M. Bacanin
17 O. Kurtsev
32 R. Rasimavicius
80 Elivelton
95 J. Bopesu

Coach: Toni Korkeakunnas

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.