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Conference League
Referee: A Aptsiauri
1–1
Full-time
Alashkert
U S T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Yelimay Semey Alashkert
Last 6 — all competitions · 1/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
0%
50%
Both score Ø 92%
100%
83%
Average goals
2,0
3,3
Scored
1,0
1,8
Conceded
1,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,3
This season — Conference League · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
1,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 0%
0%
0%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
2,0
2,0
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match report

Yelimay Semey Alashkert
4′
M. Toure 0–1
1–1 A. Bakhtiyarov
F. Placca
11′
Almas Tyulyubay 🟨
37′
Half-time 1–1
46′
🔁 D. J. Massoumou
↦ J. Sabobo
Strahinja Tanasijević 🟨
56′
Z. Pairuz 🔁
↦ Y. Biarozkin
63′
I. Sviridov 🔁
↦ R. Murtazaev
63′
69′
🔁 A. Sadoyan
↦ H. Hakobyan
73′
🟨 Rafael de Jesus Santana Ferreira
75′
🔁 P. Ejike
↦ M. Toure
75′
🔁 J. Granado
↦ D. Terteryan
80′
🟨 Edgar Piloyan
D. Palacio 🔁
↦ A. Bakhtiyarov
84′
Hrvoje Ilić 🟨
86′
2–1 H. Ilic
96′
103′
🔁 D. Togola
↦ Rafael Jesus
M. Belancic 🔁
↦ S. Tanasijevic
106′
106′
🔁 H. Muiz Adebayo
↦ K. Nalbandyan
110′
🟨 Domi Massoumou
R. Soto 🔁
↦ F. Placca
110′
A. Baigaliyev 🔁
↦ A. Tulubay
111′
120′
Higor Gabriel 3–1
own goal
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Yelimay Semey

5-4-1
32 I. Konovalov G
20 A. Ashirbek M
26 S. Tanasijevic D
3 Higor Gabriel
15 M. Mittendorfer D
17 A. Bakhtiyarov M
77 F. Placca F
23 H. Ilic M
44 A. Tulubay
27 Y. Biarozkin
7 R. Murtazaev F
Bench (8)
1 E. Tsuprikov
2 A. Adambayev
5 M. Belancic
9 R. Soto
10 Z. Pairuz
11 I. Sviridov
14 D. Palacio
88 A. Baigaliyev

Coach: Andrey Karpovich

Alashkert

4-3-3
24 A. Beglaryan G
5 D. Terteryan D
3 Cezar D
4 I. Matiukhin
55 H. Hakobyan D
10 O. Farayola M
17 J. Sabobo M
8 E. Piloyan M
7 K. Nalbandyan M
11 M. Toure F
88 Rafael Jesus M
Bench (9)
99 I. Sesay
6 H. Muiz Adebayo
14 D. J. Massoumou
15 A. Sadoyan
18 I. D. Nduka
19 P. Ejike
20 D. Togola
21 J. Granado
23 S. Gigolyan

Coach: Vahe Gevorgyan

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.