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Conference League
Referee: J Manzano
Fiorentina
S U S T S
2–1
Full-time
Crystal Palace
U U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Fiorentina Crystal Palace
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,2
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,5
2,2
Scored
1,5
1,7
Conceded
1,0
0,5
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+1,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 13/13 matches
Win Ø 58%
62%
54%
Points per game
1,8
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 62%
77%
46%
Both score Ø 42%
46%
38%
Average goals
3,0
2,2
Scored
1,8
1,5
Conceded
1,2
0,6
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,9
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

1,92 xG 1,34
67% Possession 33%
16 Shots 9
6 Shots on target 3
6 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
6 Corners 1
2 Offside 2
14 Free kicks against 14
5 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

9. Apr -26 Crystal Palace – Fiorentina 3–0

Match report

Fiorentina Crystal Palace
17′
⚽ I. Sarr 0–1
D. Munoz
30′
🔁 J. Lerma
↦ A. Wharton
1–1 A. Gudmundsson ⚽
30′
Marin Pongračić 🟨
40′
40′
🟨 Yéremy Pino
41′
🔁 C. Riad
↦ M. Lacroix
Half-time 1–1
C. Ndour 🔁
↦ N. Fagioli
46′
46′
🔁 J. S. Larsen
↦ J. Mateta
Pietro Comuzzo 🟨
50′
53′
🟨 Ismaïla Sarr
2–1 C. Ndour ⚽
M. Solomon
53′
Luca Ranieri 🟨
67′
E. Kouadio 🔁
↦ P. Comuzzo
70′
L. Balbo 🔁
↦ R. Gosens
70′
73′
🔁 W. Hughes
↦ Y. Pino
J. Fazzini 🔁
↦ M. Solomon
75′
G. Fabbian 🔁
↦ A. Gudmundsson
75′
76′
🟨 Chadi Riad
Cher Ndour 🟨
87′
Roberto Piccoli 🟨
91′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Fiorentina

3-4-2-1
43 D. de Gea G
5 M. Pongracic D
15 P. Comuzzo D
6 L. Ranieri D
17 J. Harrison M
8 R. Mandragora M
44 N. Fagioli M
21 R. Gosens M
10 A. Gudmundsson F
19 M. Solomon F
91 R. Piccoli F
Bench (11)
50 P. Leonardelli
53 O. Christensen
22 J. Fazzini
80 G. Fabbian
27 C. Ndour
61 R. Braschi
23 E. Kospo
60 E. Kouadio
62 L. Balbo
64 L. Deli
69 G. Puzzoli

Coach: Paolo Vanoli

Crystal Palace

3-4-3
1 D. Henderson G
26 C. Richards D
5 M. Lacroix D
23 J. Canvot D
2 D. Munoz M
20 A. Wharton M
18 D. Kamada M
3 T. Mitchell M
7 I. Sarr F
14 J. Mateta F
10 Y. Pino F
Bench (12)
44 W. Benitez
31 R. Matthews
17 N. Clyne
19 W. Hughes
24 B. Sosa
22 J. S. Larsen
11 B. Johnson
42 K. Rodney
8 J. Lerma
55 J. Devenny
34 C. Riad
59 R. Cardines

Coach: Oliver Glasner

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

J Manzano · 18 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,8 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.