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DBU Pokalen
Referee: S Jensen
Solrød
T
4–1
Full-time
FC Nakskov
S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Solrød FC Nakskov
Last 6 — all competitions · 1/3 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
0,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 34%
0%
67%
Average goals
3,0
6,3
Scored
0,0
2,0
Conceded
3,0
4,3
Goal diff per game
-3,0
-2,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Vanløse 1 1 0 0 +10 3
2 Holstebro 1 1 0 0 +9 3
3 Fredericia 1 1 0 0 +8 3
4 Esbjerg 1 1 0 0 +8 3
5 B 1913 1 1 0 0 +6 3
6 Kolding IF 1 1 0 0 +6 3
7 Ishøj 1 1 0 0 +6 3
8 Frem 1 1 0 0 +5 3
9 Horsens 1 1 0 0 +5 3
10 Fremad Amager 1 1 0 0 +5 3
11 HB Koge 1 1 0 0 +4 3
12 Næsby 1 1 0 0 +4 3
13 OKS 1 1 0 0 +4 3
14 Hørsholm-Usserød 1 1 0 0 +4 3
15 Silkeborg KFUM 1 1 0 0 +3 3
16 Vejgaard B 1 1 0 0 +3 3
17 Holbæk B&I 1 1 0 0 +3 3
18 Allerød 1 1 0 0 +3 3
19 Hobro 1 1 0 0 +3 3
20 Skive 1 1 0 0 +3 3
21 Gørslev 1 1 0 0 +2 3
22 FC Helsingor 1 1 0 0 +2 3
23 Brabrand 1 1 0 0 +2 3
24 Roskilde 1 1 0 0 +2 3
25 VSK Århus 1 1 0 0 +2 3
26 Hillerød 1 1 0 0 +2 3
27 Aarhus Fremad 1 1 0 0 +2 3
28 Avarta 1 1 0 0 +2 3
29 NB Bornholm 1 1 0 0 +1 3
30 Morud/Veflinge 1 1 0 0 +1 3
31 ACFC 1 1 0 0 +1 3
32 Brønshøj 1 1 0 0 +1 3
33 Hvidovre IF 1 1 0 0 +1 3
34 B 93 1 1 0 0 +1 3
35 Vendsyssel FF 1 1 0 0 +1 3
36 Nykobing FC 1 1 0 0 +1 3
37 Herlev 1 1 0 0 +1 3
38 Kolding B 1 0 1 0 +0 1
39 Dalum 1 0 1 0 +0 1
40 Middelfart 1 0 1 0 +0 1
41 Odense 1 0 1 0 +0 1
42 Skjold Birkerød 1 0 0 1 -1 0
43 Tarup-Paarup 1 0 0 1 -1 0
44 LKB-Gistrup 1 0 0 1 -1 0
45 Ringsted 1 0 0 1 -1 0
46 Kastrup 1 0 0 1 -1 0
47 Karlslunde 1 0 0 1 -1 0
48 Lyseng 1 0 0 1 -1 0
49 Svebølle 1 0 0 1 -1 0
50 Vigerslev 1 0 0 1 -1 0
51 Sundby 1 0 0 1 -2 0
52 AB Tårnby 1 0 0 1 -2 0
53 Christiansbjerg 1 0 0 1 -2 0
54 HIK 1 0 0 1 -2 0
55 Odder 1 0 0 1 -2 0
56 Naestved 1 0 0 1 -2 0
57 Vatanspor 1 0 0 1 -2 0
58 Gladsaxe 1 0 0 1 -2 0
59 Nørresundby 1 0 0 1 -3 0
60 Aalborg Freja 1 0 0 1 -3 0
61 Jyllinge 1 0 0 1 -3 0
62 B 1960 1 0 0 1 -3 0
63 Gug 1 0 0 1 -3 0
64 Aalborg Chang 1 0 0 1 -3 0
65 FA 2000 1 0 0 1 -4 0
66 ØB 1 0 0 1 -4 0
67 Skjern 1 0 0 1 -4 0
68 Herlufsholm 1 0 0 1 -4 0
69 Bagsværd 1 0 0 1 -5 0
70 Kjellerup 1 0 0 1 -5 0
71 ESPM 1 0 0 1 -5 0
72 Sønderborg Fremad 1 0 0 1 -6 0
73 Varde 1 0 0 1 -6 0
74 NFB 1 0 0 1 -6 0
75 Ringkøbing 1 0 0 1 -8 0
76 Fredericia FF 1 0 0 1 -8 0
77 Lemming 1 0 0 1 -9 0
78 LUIF 1 0 0 1 -10 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Solrød FC Nakskov
19′
⚽ S. Christensen 0–1
0–2 M. Jensen ⚽
own goal
28′
1–2 N. Bossen ⚽
34′
K. Westhoff 🔁
↦ G. Stentoft
43′
Half-time 1–2
46′
🔁 M. Fugl
↦ L. Højgaard
46′
🔁 M. Østergaard
↦ N. Hansen
M. Olsen 🔁
↦ L. Højer
60′
2–2 A. Segan ⚽
64′
74′
🔁 M. Larsen
↦ J. Kristensen
A. Ipsen 🔁
↦ N. Adler Nielsen
76′
J. Johansson 🔁
↦ S. Sommer
76′
V. Fønss 🔁
↦ N. Bossen
76′
79′
🔁 I. Christensen
↦ P. Johansen
3–2 J. Johansson ⚽
92′
Full-time 3–2

Line-ups

Solrød

17 A. Segan
7 S. Sommer
21 V. Fønss
24 F. Longhi
11 N. Bossen
12 T. Madsen
3 N. Holmstrøm
8 G. Stentoft
9 L. Højer
10 N. Adler Nielsen
1 M. Otzen
Bench (7)
6 K. Westhoff
20 M. Olsen
18 A. Ipsen
15 J. Johansson
14 V. Fønss
16 F. Worsoe
22 T. Longhi

Coach: C. Jørgensen

FC Nakskov

1 M. Hansen
4 M. Jensen
6 P. Johansen
9 N. Skovgaard
17 N. Fugl
20 J. Kristensen
7 F. Christensen
3 L. Christiansen
15 S. Christensen
19 N. Hansen
14 L. Højgaard
Bench (6)
18 M. Fugl
12 M. Østergaard
5 M. Larsen
8 I. Christensen
21 M. Johansen
16 N.Selimko

Coach: H. Christensen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.