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Europa League
Referee: D Makkelie
Leverkusen
U U U S S
2–2
Full-time
Roma
T S U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Leverkusen Roma
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
2,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
3,5
3,0
Scored
2,7
1,3
Conceded
0,8
1,7
Goal diff per game
+1,8
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 11/13 matches
Win Ø 68%
82%
54%
Points per game
2,6
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 47%
55%
38%
Both score Ø 47%
55%
38%
Average goals
3,4
2,4
Scored
2,6
1,6
Conceded
0,7
0,8
Goal diff per game
+1,9
+0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

2,65 xG 2,12
60% Possession 40%
32 Shots 11
13 Shots on target 7
11 Blocked shots 4
5 Goalkeeper saves 12
8 Corners 4
2 Offside 3
6 Free kicks against 7
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

2. May -24 Roma – Leverkusen 0–2 18. May -23 Leverkusen – Roma 0–0 11. May -23 Roma – Leverkusen 1–0

Match report

Leverkusen Roma
Edmond Tapsoba 🟨
20′
20′
🟨 Gianluca Mancini
21′
🟨 Lorenzo Pellegrini
21′
🔁 N. Zalewski
↦ L. Spinazzola
27′
🟨 Leandro Paredes
29′
🟨 Nicola Zalewski
Jonathan Tah 🟨
41′
43′
⚽ L. Paredes 0–1
Half-time 0–1
64′
ℹ️ Bryan Cristante
VAR: Penalty confirmed
66′
⚽ L. Paredes 0–2
72′
🔁 E. Bove
↦ S. Azmoun
P. Schick 🔁
↦ A. Hložek
74′
F. Wirtz 🔁
↦ J. Hofmann
81′
81′
🔁 C. Smalling
↦ Angeliño
81′
🔁 T. Abraham
↦ L. Pellegrini
0–3 G. Mancini ⚽
own goal
82′
Florian Wirtz 🟨
89′
O. Kossounou 🔁
↦ Álex Grimaldo
90′
J. Stanišić 🔁
↦ J. Frimpong
90′
1–3 J. Stanišić ⚽
G. Xhaka
97′
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Leverkusen

3-4-2-1
17 M. Kovář G
12 E. Tapsoba D
4 J. Tah D
3 P. Hincapié D
30 J. Frimpong M
25 E. Palacios M
34 G. Xhaka M
20 Álex Grimaldo M
7 J. Hofmann F
23 A. Hložek F
21 A. Adli F
Bench (12)
14 P. Schick
10 F. Wirtz
6 O. Kossounou
2 J. Stanišić
32 G. Puerta
36 N. Lomb
13 Arthur
1 L. Hrádecký
19 N. Tella
8 R. Andrich
9 Borja Iglesias
22 V. Boniface

Coach: Xabi Alonso

Roma

3-5-2
99 M. Svilar G
23 G. Mancini D
5 E. Ndicka D
69 Angeliño D
92 S. El Shaarawy M
4 B. Cristante M
16 L. Paredes M
7 L. Pellegrini M
37 L. Spinazzola M
17 S. Azmoun F
90 R. Lukaku F
Bench (12)
59 N. Zalewski
52 E. Bove
6 C. Smalling
9 T. Abraham
14 Diego Llorente
35 T. Baldanzi
2 R. Karsdorp
21 P. Dybala
20 Renato Sanches
22 H. Aouar
19 Z. Çelik
1 Rui Patrício

Coach: D. De Rossi

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

D Makkelie · 193 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
21,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.