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Champions League
Referee: F Maresca
Shamrock Rovers
S U T
2–1
Full-time
Ludogorets
S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Shamrock Rovers Ludogorets
Last 6 — all competitions · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 67%
33%
100%
Points per game
1,3
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
2,0
2,0
Scored
1,0
2,0
Conceded
1,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+2,0
This season — Champions League · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 67%
33%
100%
Points per game
1,3
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
2,0
2,0
Scored
1,0
2,0
Conceded
1,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+2,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

13 Shots 8
6 Shots on target 4
1 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
2 Corners 4
15 Free kicks against 13
4 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

19. Jul -22 Ludogorets – Shamrock Rovers 3–0

Match report

Shamrock Rovers Ludogorets
1–0 A. Greene ⚽
21′
24′
🟨 Show
39′
🟨 Bernard Tekpetey
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 S. Delev
↦ B. Tekpetey
46′
🔁 Rick
↦ K. Despodov
50′
🟨 Alex Santana
51′
🟨 Show
51′
🟥 Show
55′
🟨 Rick
Ronan Finn 🟨
64′
Richie Towell 🟨
66′
N. Farrugia 🔁
↦ R. Finn
71′
R. Gaffney 🔁
↦ G. ONeill
71′
D. Watts 🔁
↦ G. Burke
71′
A. Emakhu 🔁
↦ R. Towell
78′
Neil Farrugia 🟨
82′
J. Ferizaj 🔁
↦ C. McCann
83′
Aaron Greene 🟨
84′
86′
🔁 Thiago
↦ P. Sotiriou
2–0 A. Emakhu ⚽
N. Farrugia
88′
91′
⚽ Cauly 2–1
Rick
92′
🔁 G. Terziev
↦ Cauly
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Shamrock Rovers

3-5-2
1 A. Mannus G
2 S. Gannon M
3 S. Hoare D
5 L. Grace D
8 R. Finn M
17 R. Towell M
16 G. O'Neill M
26 C. McCann M
22 A. Lyons D
10 G. Burke F
9 A. Greene F
Bench (10)
23 N. Farrugia
20 R. Gaffney
7 D. Watts
38 A. Emakhu
21 J. Ferizaj
27 C. O'Sullivan
30 T. Leitis
11 S. Kavanagh
28 G. Tetteh
25 L. Pöhls

Coach: S. Bradley

Ludogorets

4-3-3
1 S. Padt G
21 Ž. Karničnik D
24 O. Verdon D
32 I. Plastun D
3 A. Nedyalkov D
23 Show M
7 Alex Santana M
95 Cauly M
37 B. Tekpetey F
19 P. Sotiriou F
11 K. Despodov M
Bench (11)
90 S. Delev
73 Rick
9 Thiago
5 G. Terziev
67 D. Hristov
64 D. Yankov
12 S. Sluga
82 I. Yordanov
14 D. Gruper
4 Cicinho
10 M. Tissera

Coach: A. Šimundža

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

F Maresca · 123 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,0 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,28 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.