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Champions League
Referee: G Nyberg
Club Brugge
S S S S S
3–3
Full-time
Ath Madrid
U S T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Club Brugge Ath Madrid
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
83%
33%
Points per game
2,5
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
100%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
67%
17%
Average goals
4,3
2,7
Scored
3,0
1,7
Conceded
1,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,7
+0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 12/8 matches
Win Ø 54%
58%
50%
Points per game
1,8
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 90%
92%
88%
Both score Ø 69%
50%
88%
Average goals
4,0
4,0
Scored
2,3
2,1
Conceded
1,7
1,9
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

2,33 xG 2,33
58% Possession 42%
17 Shots 13
10 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 5
2 Goalkeeper saves 7
4 Corners 6
2 Offside 0
5 Free kicks against 8
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Club Brugge Ath Madrid
7′
ℹ️ Antoine Griezmann
VAR: Penalty confirmed
8′
J. Alvarez 0–1
45′
A. Lookman 0–2
A. Griezmann
Half-time 0–2
48′
🟨 Marc Pubill
1–2 R. Onyedika
N. Tresoldi
52′
2–2 N. Tresoldi
M. Diakhon
60′
62′
🔁 A. Baena
↦ A. Lookman
66′
🔁 A. Sorloth
↦ A. Griezmann
Raphael Onyedika 🟨
76′
R. Vermant 🔁
↦ N. Tresoldi
76′
79′
J. Ordonez 3–2
own goal
H. Siquet 🔁
↦ K. Sabbe
81′
S. Campbell 🔁
↦ M. Diakhon
82′
B. Meijer 🔁
↦ J. Seys
86′
F. Lemarechal 🔁
↦ A. Stankovic
86′
4–2 C. Tzolis
R. Onyedika
89′
Christos Tzolis ℹ️
VAR: Goal confirmed
91′
91′
🔁 J. Cardoso
↦ Koke
91′
🔁 R. Le Normand
↦ N. Molina
95′
🟨 Alejandro Baena
Full-time 4–2

Line-ups

Club Brugge

4-2-3-1
22 S. Mignolet G
64 K. Sabbe D
4 J. Ordonez D
44 B. Mechele D
65 J. Seys D
25 A. Stankovic M
15 R. Onyedika M
8 C. Tzolis M
20 H. Vanaken M
67 M. Diakhon M
7 N. Tresoldi F
Bench (11)
29 N. Jackers
6 L. Reis
10 H. Vetlesen
14 B. Meijer
17 R. Vermant
19 G. Nilsson
24 V. Osuji
41 H. Siquet
58 J. Spileers
80 F. Lemarechal
84 S. Campbell

Coach: Ivan Leko

Ath Madrid

4-3-3
13 J. Oblak G
16 N. Molina D
18 M. Pubill D
17 D. Hancko D
3 M. Ruggeri D
7 A. Griezmann M
6 Koke M
14 M. Llorente M
20 G. Simeone F
19 J. Alvarez F
22 A. Lookman F
Bench (11)
1 J. Musso
31 S. Esquivel
2 J. M. Gimenez
4 R. Mendoza
5 J. Cardoso
9 A. Sorloth
10 A. Baena
11 T. Almada
15 C. Lenglet
21 O. Vargas
24 R. Le Normand

Coach: Diego Simeone

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

G Nyberg · 103 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,5 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.