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Champions League
Referee: R Obrenovic
Sp Lisbon
S S T U S
2–1
Full-time
Marseille
S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sp Lisbon Marseille
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 75%
67%
83%
Points per game
2,2
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,2
3,7
Scored
2,2
2,8
Conceded
1,0
0,8
Goal diff per game
+1,2
+2,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 75%
100%
50%
Average goals
4,0
3,5
Scored
2,5
2,5
Conceded
1,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+1,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1,11 xG 0,54
53% Possession 47%
14 Shots 10
7 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 5
3 Corners 1
2 Offside 0
11 Free kicks against 16
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 1

Recent head-to-head meetings

12. Oct -22 Sp Lisbon – Marseille 0–2 4. Oct -22 Marseille – Sp Lisbon 4–1

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

R Obrenovic · 32 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
21,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.