OBOS-ligaen
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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hodd
Egersund
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Lillestrom
|
14 | 9 | 5 | 0 | +24 | 32 |
| 2 |
Start
|
14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | +8 | 25 |
| 3 |
Aalesund
|
13 | 5 | 7 | 1 | +7 | 22 |
| 4 |
Sogndal
|
14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | +4 | 21 |
| 5 |
Egersund
|
13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | +0 | 21 |
| 6 |
Kongsvinger
|
13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | +9 | 20 |
| 7 |
Raufoss
|
14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | +4 | 19 |
| 8 |
Odd
|
14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | +0 | 19 |
| 9 |
Ranheim
|
13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | -3 | 19 |
| 10 |
hodd
|
14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | -5 | 19 |
| 11 |
Lyn
|
14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | +2 | 17 |
| 12 |
Asane
|
14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | -3 | 17 |
| 13 |
Moss
|
14 | 5 | 1 | 8 | -11 | 16 |
| 14 |
Stabaek
|
14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | -7 | 14 |
| 15 |
Skeid
|
14 | 1 | 5 | 8 | -10 | 8 |
| 16 |
Mjondalen
|
14 | 1 | 5 | 8 | -19 | 8 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Asane
hodd
hodd
Mjondalen
Raufoss
hodd
Moss
hodd
hodd
Lillestrom
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.