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Champions League
Referee: R Obrenović
Arsenal
S T U S U
2–2
Full-time
PSV Eindhoven
S T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Arsenal PSV Eindhoven
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
17%
100%
Both score Ø 67%
33%
100%
Average goals
2,5
4,5
Scored
1,7
1,8
Conceded
0,8
2,7
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 9/11 matches
Win Ø 62%
78%
45%
Points per game
2,4
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 65%
56%
73%
Both score Ø 58%
33%
82%
Average goals
3,0
3,9
Scored
2,6
1,9
Conceded
0,4
2,0
Goal diff per game
+2,1
-0,1
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

1,25 xG 1,48
51% Possession 49%
9 Shots 13
7 Shots on target 5
1 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 5
5 Corners 4
0 Offside 1
9 Free kicks against 9
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

4. Mar -25 PSV Eindhoven – Arsenal 1–7 12. Dec -23 PSV Eindhoven – Arsenal 1–1 20. Sep -23 Arsenal – PSV Eindhoven 4–0 27. Oct -22 PSV Eindhoven – Arsenal 2–0 20. Oct -22 Arsenal – PSV Eindhoven 1–0

Match report

Arsenal PSV Eindhoven
1–0 O. Zinchenko ⚽
R. Sterling
6′
18′
⚽ I. Perišić 1–1
G. Til
34′
🟨 Isaac Babadi
2–1 D. Rice ⚽
R. Sterling
37′
Jakub Kiwior 🟨
41′
Half-time 2–1
46′
🔁 J. Veerman
↦ J. Schouten
Declan Rice 🟨
63′
L. Trossard 🔁
↦ Mikel Merino
64′
R. Calafiori 🔁
↦ D. Rice
64′
68′
🔁 L. de Jong
↦ I. Perišić
69′
🔁 O. Boscagli
↦ A. Obispo
70′
⚽ C. Driouech 2–2
I. Babadi
77′
🔁 R. Flamingo
↦ A. Nagalo
Gabriel Martinelli 🔁
↦ K. Tierney
79′
J. Timber 🔁
↦ B. White
79′
M. Ødegaard 🔁
↦ O. Zinchenko
79′
80′
🔁 E. Bajraktarević
↦ C. Driouech
Raheem Sterling 🟨
93′
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Arsenal

4-3-3
22 David Raya G
4 B. White D
15 J. Kiwior D
6 Gabriel Magalhães D
49 M. Lewis-Skelly D
17 O. Zinchenko M
20 Jorginho M
41 D. Rice M
30 R. Sterling F
23 Mikel Merino F
3 K. Tierney F
Bench (12)
19 L. Trossard
33 R. Calafiori
11 Gabriel Martinelli
12 J. Timber
8 M. Ødegaard
53 E. Nwaneri
36 T. Setford
37 N. Butler-Oyedeji
46 I. Kabia
32 Neto
5 T. Partey
2 W. Saliba

Coach: Mikel Arteta

PSV Eindhoven

4-3-3
1 W. Benítez G
37 R. Ledezma D
39 A. Nagalo D
4 A. Obispo D
3 T. Malacia D
20 G. Til M
22 J. Schouten M
26 I. Babadi M
11 J. Bakayoko F
5 I. Perišić F
21 C. Driouech F
Bench (11)
23 J. Veerman
9 L. de Jong
18 O. Boscagli
6 R. Flamingo
19 E. Bajraktarević
24 N. Schiks
10 N. Lang
2 R. Karsdorp
8 S. Dest
28 T. Land
16 J. Drommel

Coach: P. Bosz

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

R Obrenović · 32 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
21,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.