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Champions League
Referee: F Letexier
Real Madrid
U U S S S
3–3
Full-time
Man City
U S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Real Madrid Man City
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,3
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,2
3,2
Scored
2,3
2,3
Conceded
0,8
0,8
Goal diff per game
+1,5
+1,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 8/8 matches
Win Ø 94%
88%
100%
Points per game
2,8
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 82%
63%
100%
Both score Ø 76%
63%
88%
Average goals
3,3
4,1
Scored
2,3
3,0
Conceded
1,0
1,1
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+1,9
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

0,65 xG 0,80
38% Possession 62%
14 Shots 12
5 Shots on target 6
2 Blocked shots 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 2
11 Free kicks against 9
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

17. May -23 Man City – Real Madrid 4–0 9. May -23 Real Madrid – Man City 1–1

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

F Letexier · 176 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.