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Eliteserien
Referee: Ken Henry Johnsen
Sarpsborg 08
T S T U S
1–0
Full-time
Brann
S T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sarpsborg 08 Brann
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
50%
0%
Both score Ø 9%
17%
0%
Average goals
2,2
1,2
Scored
0,8
0,5
Conceded
1,3
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,2
This season — Eliteserien · 13/13 matches
Win Ø 46%
38%
54%
Points per game
1,5
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 35%
46%
23%
Both score Ø 19%
23%
15%
Average goals
2,2
1,6
Scored
1,1
0,8
Conceded
1,2
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,1
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

47% Possession 53%
13 Shots 11
3 Shots on target 1
3 Blocked shots 4
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
6 Corners 4
1 Offside 0
12 Free kicks against 25
0 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sarpsborg 08 8. · Brann 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rosenborg 14 10 3 1 +18 33
2 Odd 14 9 3 2 +9 30
3 Haugesund 14 7 3 4 +6 24
4 Molde 13 7 3 3 +5 24
5 Stromsgodset 13 7 2 4 +7 23
6 Viking 13 7 2 4 +2 23
7 Brann 13 7 2 4 +1 23
8 Sarpsborg 08 13 5 4 4 -1 19
9 Lillestrom 14 4 5 5 +1 17
10 Tromso 14 4 4 6 -7 16
11 Sogndal 13 3 6 4 -1 15
12 Aalesund 13 3 3 7 -3 12
13 Bodo/Glimt 14 3 3 8 -6 12
14 Valerenga 14 3 2 9 -6 11
15 Stabaek 13 3 1 9 -7 10
16 Start 14 0 6 8 -18 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sarpsborg 08 Brann
33′
🟨 Sivert Nilsen
35′
🟨 Fredrik Haugen
Half-time 1–0
1–0 P. Kirkevold
K. Tokstad
60′
J. Tveita 🔁
↦ J. Lindberg
66′
75′
🔁 E. Huseklepp
↦ S. Skålevik
76′
🟨 Kasper Skaanes
M. Lund Nielsen 🔁
↦ S. Ernemann
77′
80′
🔁 R. Johansen
↦ K. Skaanes
80′
🔁 A. Karadas
↦ J. Orlov
T. Hovda 🔁
↦ P. Kirkevold
85′
90′
🟨 Remi Johansen
90′
🟨 Deyver Vega
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Sarpsborg 08

21 A. Kristiansen
13 O. Hansen D
3 H. Toivomaki D
16 J. Thomassen D
23 J. Glesnes D
10 J. Lindberg F
17 S. Ernemann M
11 K. Tokstad M
6 A. Trondsen M
69 P. Mortensen F
7 P. Kirkevold F
Bench (7)
22 J. Tveita
5 M. Lund Nielsen
18 T. Hovda
8 O. Ugwuadu
1 A. Østbø
15 S. Rosted
20 A. Østli

Brann

24 P. Leciejewski
33 A. Nouri D
21 R. Kristiansen D
5 J. Grønner D
8 F. Haugen M
23 S. Nilsen M
29 K. Barmen M
9 K. Skaanes M
10 J. Orlov F
19 D. Vega F
11 S. Skålevik F
Bench (7)
13 E. Huseklepp
16 R. Johansen
18 A. Karadas
26 D. Hatakka
1 A. Horwath
38 U. Edvardsen
17 V. Vevatne

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Ken Henry Johnsen · 14 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
17,6 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.