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Eredivisie
Referee: J Manschot
Telstar
T S S U S
2–2
Full-time
Willem II
T T U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Telstar Willem II
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
67%
17%
Points per game
2,2
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
17%
100%
Average goals
1,8
3,0
Scored
1,3
1,3
Conceded
0,5
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Eredivisie · 4/36 matches
Win Ø 47%
75%
19%
Points per game
2,5
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 36%
25%
47%
Both score Ø 42%
25%
58%
Average goals
1,5
2,7
Scored
1,3
1,1
Conceded
0,3
1,7
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-0,6
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

58% Possession 42%
16 Shots 8
3 Shots on target 3
8 Blocked shots 2
0 Goalkeeper saves 2
7 Corners 1
2 Offside 0
9 Free kicks against 11
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 PSV Eindhoven 34 25 4 5 +64 +49.4 79
2 Ajax 34 24 6 4 +35 +32.7 78
3 Feyenoord 34 20 8 6 +38 +26.3 68
4 Utrecht 34 18 10 6 +17 +5.5 64
5 AZ Alkmaar 34 16 9 9 +16 +19.0 57
6 Twente 34 15 9 10 +12 +9.8 54
7 Go Ahead Eagles 34 14 9 11 +2 +8.9 51
8 Nijmegen 34 12 7 15 +6 +3.3 43
9 Heerenveen 34 12 7 15 -10 -3.5 43
10 Zwolle 34 10 11 13 -8 -18.8 41
11 For Sittard 34 11 8 15 -17 -8.2 41
12 Sparta Rotterdam 34 9 12 13 -4 -3.8 39
13 Groningen 34 10 9 15 -13 -9.1 39
14 Heracles 34 9 11 14 -21 -17.6 38
15 NAC Breda 34 8 9 17 -24 -17.4 33
16 Willem II 36 7 8 21 -22 -31.6 29
17 Waalwijk 34 6 7 21 -30 -27.2 25
18 Almere City 34 4 10 20 -41 -17.6 22

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Telstar Willem II
14′
R. Meerveld 0–1
K. Vaesen
Devon Koswal 🟨
16′
Half-time 0–1
J. Turfkruier 🔁
↦ D. Koswal
46′
0–2 R. Sigurgeirsson
own goal
56′
61′
🟨 Raffael Behounek
1–2 Y. El Kachati
D. Bakker
65′
R. van Ekeris 🔁
↦ M. Kaandorp
69′
71′
🔁 E. Kehrer
↦ N. Doodeman
71′
🔁 C. Sandra
↦ D. Kaygin
81′
E. Kehrer 1–3
K. Vaesen
T. Overtoom 🔁
↦ T. Owusu
82′
R. Kharchouch 🔁
↦ Y. El Kachati
82′
86′
🟨 Boris Lambert
87′
🔁 Y. Sylla
↦ K. Vaesen
S. Hagedoorn 🔁
↦ T. Noslin
88′
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Telstar

3-4-2-1
1 R. Koeman G
3 M. Apau D
21 D. Koswal D
6 D. Bakker D
11 T. Noslin M
4 G. Offerhaus M
25 T. Owusu M
2 J. Hardeveld M
17 N. Rossen F
14 M. Kaandorp F
9 Y. El Kachati F
Bench (12)
8 J. Turfkruier
18 R. van Ekeris
12 T. Overtoom
27 R. Kharchouch
19 S. Hagedoorn
26 J. van Schooneveld
15 A. Lechkar
24 M. Olfers
16 A. Douiri
28 T. Bodak
23 R. Koubini
20 J. Houweling

Coach: A. Correia

Willem II

4-2-3-1
1 T. Didillon-Hödl G
33 T. St. Jago D
30 R. Behounek D
6 B. Lambert D
5 R. Sigurgeirsson D
8 J. Bosch M
34 A. Lachkar M
7 N. Doodeman M
77 D. Kaygin M
16 R. Meerveld M
9 K. Vaesen F
Bench (12)
11 E. Kehrer
14 C. Sandra
19 Y. Sylla
21 A. Fatah
17 P. Joosten
50 P. van Loon
18 J. Bokila
4 E. Schouten
15 M. Pivaš
51 U. van Aalst
41 M. Schut
24 C. van den Berg

Coach: K. Aelbrecht

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

J Manschot · 135 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
19,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.