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Eliteserien
Valerenga
S T U T S
4–2
Full-time
Mjondalen
U T T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Valerenga Mjondalen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
3,8
4,0
Scored
2,0
1,8
Conceded
1,8
2,2
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,3
This season — Eliteserien · 8/8 matches
Win Ø 44%
50%
38%
Points per game
1,8
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
75%
75%
Average goals
3,6
3,4
Scored
2,0
1,6
Conceded
1,6
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,4
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Valerenga 4. · Mjondalen 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rosenborg 8 6 1 1 +18 19
2 Stabaek 8 6 1 1 +10 19
3 Odd 8 4 2 2 +4 14
4 Valerenga 8 4 2 2 +3 14
5 Molde 8 4 1 3 +9 13
6 Sarpsborg 08 8 3 4 1 +5 13
7 Viking 8 4 1 3 +1 13
8 Mjondalen 8 3 3 2 -1 12
9 Aalesund 8 3 2 3 -6 11
10 Lillestrom 8 2 4 2 -1 10
11 Stromsgodset 8 2 3 3 -3 9
12 Start 8 2 3 3 -3 9
13 Haugesund 8 2 2 4 -11 8
14 Sandefjord 8 2 0 6 -7 6
15 Tromso 8 1 1 6 -7 4
16 Bodo/Glimt 8 0 2 6 -11 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.