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Eliteserien
Tromso
U S T T T
4–5
Full-time
Valerenga
S S T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Tromso Valerenga
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,5
2,7
Scored
1,3
1,3
Conceded
2,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,0
This season — Eliteserien · 7/7 matches
Win Ø 29%
14%
43%
Points per game
0,6
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 43%
43%
43%
Both score Ø 64%
57%
71%
Average goals
3,1
2,9
Scored
1,1
1,6
Conceded
2,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,9
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Tromso 15. · Valerenga 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rosenborg 7 6 1 0 +19 19
2 Stabaek 7 5 1 1 +6 16
3 Molde 7 4 1 2 +10 13
4 Sarpsborg 08 7 3 3 1 +5 12
5 Odd 7 3 2 2 +2 11
6 Valerenga 7 3 2 2 +2 11
7 Viking 7 3 1 3 -1 10
8 Aalesund 7 3 1 3 -6 10
9 Stromsgodset 7 2 3 2 -1 9
10 Mjondalen 7 2 3 2 -2 9
11 Start 7 2 2 3 -3 8
12 Haugesund 7 2 2 3 -9 8
13 Lillestrom 7 1 4 2 -2 7
14 Sandefjord 7 2 0 5 -3 6
15 Tromso 7 1 1 5 -6 4
16 Bodo/Glimt 7 0 1 6 -11 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.