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Serie A
Referee: G Manganiello
Udinese
T S T S T
2–0
Full-time
Cagliari
T S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Udinese Cagliari
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,2
3,2
Scored
1,5
1,3
Conceded
1,7
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Serie A · 8/8 matches
Win Ø 38%
50%
25%
Points per game
1,6
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 44%
50%
38%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,6
2,6
Scored
1,3
1,0
Conceded
1,4
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,1
-0,6
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,03 xG 0,43
64% Possession 36%
13 Shots 3
4 Shots on target 0
2 Blocked shots 0
0 Goalkeeper saves 2
2 Corners 4
2 Offside 1
13 Free kicks against 9
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Udinese 8. · Cagliari 15.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Napoli 8 6 1 1 +10 +5.4 19
2 Inter 8 5 2 1 +8 +4.7 17
3 Juventus 8 4 4 0 +10 +7.0 16
4 Milan 8 4 2 2 +7 +6.7 14
5 Fiorentina 8 3 4 1 +7 +4.2 13
6 Atalanta 8 4 1 3 +5 +6.9 13
7 Lazio 8 4 1 3 +2 +3.3 13
8 Udinese 8 4 1 3 -1 -4.6 13
9 Torino 8 3 2 3 +0 -3.5 11
10 Roma 8 2 4 2 +2 +1.2 10
11 Empoli 8 2 4 2 +1 -4.0 10
12 Bologna 8 1 6 1 -2 -0.6 9
13 Verona 8 3 0 5 -3 -2.0 9
14 Como 8 2 3 3 -4 -0.1 9
15 Cagliari 8 2 3 3 -5 -1.1 9
16 Monza 8 1 4 3 -1 -4.1 7
17 Parma 8 1 4 3 -2 -1.6 7
18 Genoa 8 1 3 4 -10 -7.1 6
19 Lecce 8 1 2 5 -15 -5.5 5
20 Venezia 8 1 1 6 -9 -5.2 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Udinese Cagliari
5′
🟨 Antoine Makoumbou
29′
🟨 Antoine Makoumbou
29′
🟥 Antoine Makoumbou
37′
🔁 A. Deiola
↦ G. Gaetano
1–0 L. Lucca
H. Kamara
38′
Half-time 1–0
Lorenzo Lucca 🟨
64′
71′
🔁 N. Zortea
↦ T. Augello
71′
🔁 Zito Luvumbo
↦ M. Adopo
71′
🔁 G. Lapadula
↦ R. Piccoli
Iker Bravo 🔁
↦ L. Lucca
73′
Oier Zarraga 🔁
↦ M. Payero
73′
Rui Modesto 🔁
↦ K. Ehizibue
73′
2–0 K. Davis
J. Karlström
78′
80′
🟨 Paulo Azzi
Souleymane Isaak Touré 🟨
81′
L. Giannetti 🔁
↦ C. Kabasele
85′
J. Zemura 🔁
↦ H. Kamara
85′
89′
🔁 M. Prati
↦ R. Marin
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Udinese

3-5-2
40 M. Okoye G
27 C. Kabasele D
29 J. Bijol D
95 I. Touré D
19 K. Ehizibue M
8 S. Lovrić M
25 J. Karlström M
5 M. Payero M
11 H. Kamara M
9 K. Davis F
17 L. Lucca F
Bench (12)
21 Iker Bravo
6 Oier Zarraga
77 Rui Modesto
30 L. Giannetti
33 J. Zemura
4 J. Abankwah
90 R. Sava
99 D. Pizarro
16 M. Palma
22 Brenner
93 D. Padelli
23 E. Ebosse

Coach: K. Runjaić

Cagliari

3-5-1-1
22 S. Scuffet G
28 G. Zappa D
26 Y. Mina D
6 S. Luperto D
37 Paulo Azzi M
8 M. Adopo M
29 A. Makoumbou M
18 R. Marin M
3 T. Augello M
70 G. Gaetano F
91 R. Piccoli F
Bench (13)
14 A. Deiola
19 N. Zortea
77 Zito Luvumbo
9 G. Lapadula
16 M. Prati
33 A. Obert
23 M. Wieteska
10 N. Viola
97 M. Felici
80 K. Mutandwa
71 A. Sherri
24 J. Palomino
1 G. Ciocci

Coach: D. Nicola

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,26
U
3,19
B
3,49
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,10
U2,5 ✓
1,76
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

G Manganiello · 108 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.