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Serie A

Referee: P Valeri

Bologna

U S T S S

1–1

Full-time

Fiorentina

T T T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bologna Fiorentina

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

1,7

0,2

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

100%

50%

Both score Ø 84%

100%

67%

Average goals

4,0

3,2

Scored

2,0

0,8

Conceded

2,0

2,3

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-1,5

This season — Serie A · 17/17 matches

Win Ø 30%

35%

24%

Points per game

1,3

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 68%

76%

59%

Both score Ø 77%

82%

71%

Average goals

3,3

2,9

Scored

1,6

1,2

Conceded

1,7

1,6

Goal diff per game

-0,1

-0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

71% Possession 29%

12 Shots 7

7 Shots on target 4

2 Blocked shots 0

3 Goalkeeper saves 5

14 Corners 2

2 Offside 1

14 Free kicks against 23

2 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Bologna 11. · Fiorentina 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Inter	17	13	3	1	+22	42
2	Juventus	17	13	3	1	+14	42
3	Lazio	17	12	3	2	+23	39
4	Roma	18	10	5	3	+14	35
5	Atalanta	17	9	4	4	+18	31
6	Cagliari	17	8	5	4	+10	29
7	Parma	17	7	4	6	+4	25
8	Napoli	17	6	6	5	+5	24
9	Torino	18	7	3	8	-2	24
10	Verona	17	6	4	7	-1	22
11	Bologna	17	6	4	7	-2	22
12	Milan	17	6	3	8	-8	21
13	Sassuolo	18	5	4	9	-1	19
14	Udinese	17	5	3	9	-15	18
15	Fiorentina	17	4	5	8	-7	17
16	Lecce	17	3	6	8	-13	15
17	Sampdoria	17	4	3	10	-13	15
18	Brescia	18	4	2	12	-15	14
19	Genoa	18	3	5	10	-17	14
20	Spal	18	3	3	12	-16	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	8	7	1	0	+9	22
2	Lazio	8	6	2	0	+17	20
3	Inter	9	6	2	1	+11	20
4	Roma	9	5	2	2	+5	17
5	Cagliari	9	5	1	3	+6	16
6	Udinese	9	4	2	3	-3	14
7	Atalanta	8	4	1	3	+9	13
8	Parma	9	4	1	4	+3	13
9	Verona	9	3	3	3	+0	12
10	Napoli	8	3	2	3	+2	11
11	Bologna	8	3	2	3	+0	11
12	Torino	9	3	2	4	-3	11
13	Sassuolo	9	3	1	5	+1	10
14	Genoa	9	3	1	5	-2	10
15	Milan	8	2	3	3	-3	9
16	Fiorentina	9	2	3	4	-4	9
17	Sampdoria	9	2	3	4	-5	9
18	Spal	9	2	2	5	-5	8
19	Lecce	8	0	4	4	-6	4
20	Brescia	9	1	1	7	-10	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Inter	8	7	1	0	+11	22
2	Juventus	9	6	2	1	+5	20
3	Lazio	9	6	1	2	+6	19
4	Atalanta	9	5	3	1	+9	18
5	Roma	9	5	3	1	+9	18
6	Cagliari	8	3	4	1	+4	13
7	Napoli	9	3	4	2	+3	13
8	Torino	9	4	1	4	+1	13
9	Parma	8	3	3	2	+1	12
10	Milan	9	4	0	5	-5	12
11	Bologna	9	3	2	4	-2	11
12	Lecce	9	3	2	4	-7	11
13	Verona	8	3	1	4	-1	10
14	Brescia	9	3	1	5	-5	10
15	Sassuolo	9	2	3	4	-2	9
16	Fiorentina	8	2	2	4	-3	8
17	Sampdoria	8	2	0	6	-8	6
18	Spal	9	1	1	7	-11	4
19	Udinese	8	1	1	6	-12	4
20	Genoa	9	0	4	5	-15	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.