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La Liga
Referee: Miguel Sesma Espinosa
Espanol
S S S T T
2–1
Full-time
Sevilla
T T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Espanol Sevilla
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,3
3,5
Scored
1,2
1,8
Conceded
1,2
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — La Liga · 12/12 matches
Win Ø 42%
42%
42%
Points per game
1,5
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
50%
75%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,5
3,1
Scored
1,3
1,5
Conceded
1,3
1,6
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,1
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,09 xG 1,82
33% Possession 67%
8 Shots 22
5 Shots on target 6
1 Blocked shots 8
5 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 13
0 Offside 1
18 Free kicks against 7
4 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Espanol 6. · Sevilla 9.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Real Madrid 13 10 2 1 +16 +16.6 32
2 Barcelona 13 10 1 2 +21 +11.6 31
3 Villarreal 13 9 2 2 +15 +7.9 29
4 Ath Madrid 13 8 4 1 +14 +10.9 28
5 Betis 13 5 6 2 +6 +5.6 21
6 Espanol 12 5 3 4 +0 +6.2 18
7 Getafe 13 5 2 6 -3 -4.1 17
8 Ath Bilbao 13 5 2 6 -5 +4.0 17
9 Sevilla 12 5 1 6 -1 -10.3 16
10 Sociedad 13 4 4 5 -1 +1.2 16
11 Elche 13 3 7 3 -1 -4.7 16
12 Celta 13 3 7 3 -2 -2.0 16
13 Vallecano 13 4 4 5 -2 +1.2 16
14 Alaves 13 4 3 6 -1 +1.7 15
15 Valencia 13 3 4 6 -9 -4.9 13
16 Mallorca 13 3 3 7 -7 -11.2 12
17 Osasuna 13 3 2 8 -6 -3.3 11
18 Girona 13 2 5 6 -13 -9.4 11
19 Levante 13 2 3 8 -8 -3.8 9
20 Oviedo 13 2 3 8 -13 -13.3 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Espanol Sevilla
34′
🔁 C. Ejuke
↦ A. Januzaj
Half-time 1–0
1–0 P. Milla
T. Dolan
48′
Edu Expósito 🟨
50′
54′
🔁 A. Gonzalez
↦ R. Vargas
P. Lozano 🔁
↦ Exposito
62′
R. Fernandez Jaen 🔁
↦ R. Terrats
62′
Pere Milla 🟨
71′
71′
🔁 N. Gudelj
↦ B. Mendy
71′
🔁 A. Sanchez
↦ Peque
71′
🔁 L. Agoume
↦ D. Sow
C. Pickel 🔁
↦ P. Milla
74′
Jofre 🔁
↦ K. Garcia
74′
2–0 R. Fernandez Jaen
U. Gonzalez
84′
Roberto Fernández 🟨
85′
86′
L. Cabrera 3–0
own goal
A. Roca 🔁
↦ T. Dolan
88′
94′
🟨 Andres Castrin
Pol Lozano 🟨
97′
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Espanol

4-4-2
13 M. Dmitrovic G
23 O. El Hilali D
5 F. Calero D
6 L. Cabrera D
22 C. Romero D
24 T. Dolan M
4 U. Gonzalez M
8 Exposito M
14 R. Terrats M
11 P. Milla F
19 K. Garcia F
Bench (12)
1 A. Fortuno
38 C. Riedel
15 M. Rubio
12 J. Salinas
2 R. Sanchez
27 J. Hernandez
10 P. Lozano
18 C. Pickel
17 Jofre
9 R. Fernandez Jaen
16 L. Koleosho
20 A. Roca

Coach: José Manuel González Álvarez

Sevilla

4-2-3-1
1 O. Vlachodimos G
16 J. Sanchez D
32 Castrin D
23 Marcao D
12 G. Suazo D
20 D. Sow M
19 B. Mendy M
24 A. Januzaj M
14 Peque M
11 R. Vargas M
9 A. Adams F
Bench (12)
13 O. Nyland
4 K. Salas
6 N. Gudelj
8 Joan Jordan
10 A. Sanchez
15 F. Cardoso
17 A. Gonzalez
18 L. Agoume
21 C. Ejuke
22 R. Martinez
28 M. Bueno
36 Oso

Coach: Matías Jesús Almeyda

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,07
U
3,29
B
3,59
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,06
U2,5
1,71
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Miguel Sesma Espinosa · 10 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,6 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
26,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.