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La Liga

Referee: Juan Pulido

Mallorca

T S S T T

1–0

Full-time

Celta

S U T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Mallorca Celta

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,5

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

50%

Both score Ø 34%

67%

Average goals

1,3

3,2

Scored

0,7

2,2

Conceded

0,7

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+1,2

This season — La Liga · 17/17 matches

Win Ø 30%

35%

24%

Points per game

1,3

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 36%

18%

53%

Both score Ø 47%

35%

59%

Average goals

1,8

2,6

Scored

0,8

1,0

Conceded

0,9

1,6

Goal diff per game

-0,1

-0,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,54 xG 0,53

42% Possession 58%

8 Shots 10

3 Shots on target 3

1 Blocked shots 4

3 Goalkeeper saves 2

4 Corners 6

1 Offside 0

15 Free kicks against 11

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Mallorca 10. · Celta 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	16	13	2	1	+29	41
2	Real Madrid	16	12	2	2	+20	38
3	Sociedad	17	11	2	4	+8	35
4	Ath Madrid	17	8	4	5	+8	28
5	Villarreal	17	8	4	5	+7	28
6	Betis	16	8	4	4	+6	28
7	Osasuna	17	8	3	6	+1	27
8	Ath Bilbao	17	7	5	5	+8	26
9	Vallecano	17	7	5	5	+4	26
10	Mallorca	17	6	4	7	-2	22
11	Girona	17	5	6	6	-1	21
12	Valencia	16	5	4	7	+5	19
13	Almeria	17	5	3	9	-8	18
14	Espanol	17	3	8	6	-5	17
15	Getafe	17	4	5	8	-8	17
16	Celta	17	4	5	8	-11	17
17	Valladolid	17	5	2	10	-12	17
18	Cadiz	17	3	7	7	-16	16
19	Sevilla	17	3	6	8	-9	15
20	Elche	17	0	5	12	-24	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	8	6	2	0	+17	20
2	Osasuna	9	6	0	3	+4	18
3	Real Madrid	7	5	2	0	+9	17
4	Ath Bilbao	9	5	2	2	+8	17
5	Betis	8	5	2	1	+7	17
6	Sociedad	9	5	2	2	+2	17
7	Villarreal	7	5	1	1	+7	16
8	Almeria	9	5	1	3	+3	16
9	Girona	9	4	3	2	+2	15
10	Vallecano	8	4	2	2	+4	14
11	Valencia	9	4	1	4	+7	13
12	Valladolid	9	4	1	4	-1	13
13	Ath Madrid	8	3	2	3	+2	11
14	Mallorca	8	3	2	3	+0	11
15	Celta	9	2	4	3	-1	10
16	Getafe	9	2	3	4	-3	9
17	Cadiz	9	1	5	3	-8	8
18	Espanol	8	1	3	4	-5	6
19	Sevilla	8	1	3	4	-6	6
20	Elche	8	0	2	6	-10	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	8	7	0	1	+12	21
2	Real Madrid	9	7	0	2	+11	21
3	Sociedad	8	6	0	2	+6	18
4	Ath Madrid	9	5	2	2	+6	17
5	Vallecano	9	3	3	3	+0	12
6	Villarreal	10	3	3	4	+0	12
7	Espanol	9	2	5	2	+0	11
8	Betis	8	3	2	3	-1	11
9	Mallorca	9	3	2	4	-2	11
10	Ath Bilbao	8	2	3	3	+0	9
11	Sevilla	9	2	3	4	-3	9
12	Osasuna	8	2	3	3	-3	9
13	Getafe	8	2	2	4	-5	8
14	Cadiz	8	2	2	4	-8	8
15	Celta	8	2	1	5	-10	7
16	Valencia	7	1	3	3	-2	6
17	Girona	8	1	3	4	-3	6
18	Valladolid	8	1	1	6	-11	4
19	Elche	9	0	3	6	-14	3
20	Almeria	8	0	2	6	-11	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.