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Premier League

Referee: S Hooper

Newcastle

S U S S S

0–0

Full-time

Leeds

S S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Newcastle Leeds

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 58%

83%

33%

Points per game

2,7

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

50%

83%

Both score Ø 50%

17%

83%

Average goals

2,3

4,5

Scored

2,2

2,0

Conceded

0,2

2,5

Goal diff per game

+2,0

-0,5

This season — Premier League · 16/15 matches

Win Ø 42%

56%

27%

Points per game

2,1

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,7

3,5

Scored

2,0

1,5

Conceded

0,7

1,9

Goal diff per game

+1,3

-0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

59% Possession 41%

16 Shots 8

5 Shots on target 1

2 Blocked shots 4

1 Goalkeeper saves 5

9 Corners 3

3 Offside 0

13 Free kicks against 19

3 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Newcastle 3. · Leeds 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Arsenal	15	13	1	1	+24	40
2	Man City	15	11	2	2	+28	35
3	Newcastle	16	9	6	1	+21	33
4	Man United	16	10	2	4	+4	32
5	Tottenham	16	9	3	4	+10	30
6	Liverpool	16	8	4	4	+14	28
7	Brighton	15	7	3	5	+6	24
8	Chelsea	15	7	3	5	+2	24
9	Brentford	17	5	8	4	+0	23
10	Fulham	16	6	4	6	+1	22
11	Crystal Palace	15	5	4	6	-6	19
12	Aston Villa	16	5	3	8	-8	18
13	Leicester	17	5	2	10	-4	17
14	Bournemouth	16	4	4	8	-16	16
15	Leeds	15	4	3	8	-6	15
16	Everton	16	3	5	8	-7	14
17	West Ham	17	4	2	11	-9	14
18	Wolves	17	3	4	10	-16	13
19	Nott'm Forest	16	3	4	9	-22	13
20	Southampton	16	3	3	10	-16	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Man City	8	7	0	1	+21	21
2	Arsenal	7	7	0	0	+14	21
3	Liverpool	9	6	2	1	+14	20
4	Newcastle	8	5	3	0	+12	18
5	Tottenham	8	6	0	2	+10	18
6	Man United	7	5	1	1	+8	16
7	Chelsea	7	4	2	1	+6	14
8	Brentford	8	3	4	1	+6	13
9	Aston Villa	8	4	1	3	+3	13
10	Crystal Palace	8	4	1	3	-1	13
11	Fulham	8	3	3	2	+1	12
12	Brighton	7	3	2	2	+5	11
13	Leeds	8	3	2	3	+1	11
14	Bournemouth	8	3	2	3	+1	11
15	Nott'm Forest	8	3	2	3	-1	11
16	West Ham	9	3	1	5	-3	10
17	Leicester	8	2	2	4	+0	8
18	Everton	8	2	2	4	-1	8
19	Wolves	9	2	2	5	-9	8
20	Southampton	8	1	3	4	-6	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Arsenal	8	6	1	1	+10	19
2	Man United	9	5	1	3	-4	16
3	Newcastle	8	4	3	1	+9	15
4	Man City	7	4	2	1	+7	14
5	Brighton	8	4	1	3	+1	13
6	Tottenham	8	3	3	2	+0	12
7	Fulham	8	3	1	4	+0	10
8	Chelsea	8	3	1	4	-4	10
9	Brentford	9	2	4	3	-6	10
10	Leicester	9	3	0	6	-4	9
11	Liverpool	7	2	2	3	+0	8
12	Crystal Palace	7	1	3	3	-5	6
13	Everton	8	1	3	4	-6	6
14	Southampton	8	2	0	6	-10	6
15	Wolves	8	1	2	5	-7	5
16	Aston Villa	8	1	2	5	-11	5
17	Bournemouth	8	1	2	5	-17	5
18	West Ham	8	1	1	6	-6	4
19	Leeds	7	1	1	5	-7	4
20	Nott'm Forest	8	0	2	6	-21	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.