Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Aris
Volos NFC
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 2–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
AEK
|
36 | 27 | 4 | 5 | +54 | 85 |
| 2 |
Panathinaikos
|
36 | 26 | 7 | 3 | +35 | 85 |
| 3 |
PAOK
|
37 | 21 | 10 | 6 | +27 | 73 |
| 4 |
Olympiakos
|
37 | 20 | 10 | 7 | +43 | 70 |
| 5 |
Aris Thessalonikis
|
33 | 14 | 5 | 14 | +13 | 47 |
| 6 |
Aris
|
33 | 14 | 5 | 14 | +13 | 47 |
| 7 |
Volos NFC
|
36 | 12 | 7 | 17 | -27 | 43 |
| 8 |
OFI Crete
|
33 | 9 | 11 | 13 | -9 | 38 |
| 9 |
Atromitos
|
33 | 8 | 11 | 14 | -5 | 35 |
| 10 |
Panetolikos
|
33 | 8 | 9 | 16 | -16 | 33 |
| 11 |
Asteras Tripolis
|
33 | 5 | 15 | 13 | -17 | 30 |
| 12 |
Giannina
|
33 | 6 | 12 | 15 | -24 | 30 |
| 13 |
Lamia
|
33 | 6 | 12 | 15 | -34 | 30 |
| 14 |
Ionikos
|
33 | 7 | 7 | 19 | -27 | 28 |
| 15 |
Levadeiakos
|
33 | 4 | 13 | 16 | -26 | 25 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
PAOK
Aris
Aris
Olympiakos
Volos NFC
Aris
AEK
Aris
Aris
Panathinaikos
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.