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DFB-Pokal
Referee: D Schlager
Stuttgart
S S U U S
2–3
Full-time
Ein Frankfurt
S T U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Stuttgart Ein Frankfurt
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,8
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,3
2,7
Scored
1,7
1,0
Conceded
1,7
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — DFB-Pokal · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 100%
100%
100%
Points per game
3,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 25%
25%
25%
Average goals
2,8
3,5
Scored
2,5
3,0
Conceded
0,3
0,5
Goal diff per game
+2,3
+2,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

54% Possession 46%
13 Shots 11
7 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 5
3 Corners 6
4 Offside 0
18 Free kicks against 14
6 Yellow cards 4
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Stuttgart 3. · Ein Frankfurt 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 RB Leipzig 5 5 0 0 +20 15
2 Ein Frankfurt 4 4 0 0 +10 12
3 Stuttgart 4 4 0 0 +9 12
4 Freiburg 5 4 0 1 +1 12
5 Bayern Munich 4 3 0 1 +11 9
6 Dortmund 4 3 0 1 +4 9
7 Union Berlin 4 3 0 1 +2 9
8 Fortuna Dusseldorf 3 2 1 0 +6 7
9 Nurnberg 4 2 1 1 +2 7
10 Hoffenheim 3 2 0 1 +4 6
11 Bochum 3 2 0 1 +3 6
12 Darmstadt 3 2 0 1 +2 6
13 Mainz 3 2 0 1 +2 6
14 Wolfsburg 3 2 0 1 +1 6
15 Paderborn 3 1 1 1 +9 4
16 Karlsruhe 2 1 1 0 +8 4
17 Sandhausen 3 1 1 1 +2 4
18 Werder Bremen 2 1 1 0 +1 4
19 M'gladbach 2 1 0 1 +7 3
20 Augsburg 2 1 0 1 +1 3
21 Schalke 04 2 1 0 1 +1 3
22 Hannover 2 1 0 1 +1 3
23 Bielefeld 2 1 0 1 +0 3
24 St Pauli 2 1 0 1 +0 3
25 Elversberg 2 1 0 1 +0 3
26 Heidenheim 2 1 0 1 +0 3
27 Stuttgarter Kickers 2 1 0 1 +0 3
28 Hamburg 2 1 0 1 -2 3
29 VfB Lubeck 2 1 0 1 -2 3
30 Hertha 1 0 1 0 +0 1
31 FC Koln 1 0 1 0 +0 1
32 Holstein Kiel 1 0 1 0 +0 1
33 Braunschweig 2 0 1 1 -1 1
34 Waldhof Mannheim 2 0 1 1 -1 1
35 Regensburg 2 0 1 1 -3 1
36 Leverkusen 1 0 0 1 -1 0
37 Straelen 1 0 0 1 -1 0
38 Kaiserslautern 1 0 0 1 -1 0
39 Cottbus 1 0 0 1 -1 0
40 Chemnitzer FC 1 0 0 1 -1 0
41 Dresden 1 0 0 1 -1 0
42 Hansa Rostock 1 0 0 1 -1 0
43 Carl Zeiss Jena 1 0 0 1 -1 0
44 Bayreuth 1 0 0 1 -2 0
45 Kaan-Marienborn 1 0 0 1 -2 0
46 Illertissen 1 0 0 1 -2 0
47 Greuther Furth 1 0 0 1 -2 0
48 SV Rodinghausen 1 0 0 1 -2 0
49 Kickers Offenbach 1 0 0 1 -3 0
50 FC Ingolstadt 04 1 0 0 1 -3 0
51 Erzgebirge Aue 1 0 0 1 -3 0
52 TSV 1860 Munich 1 0 0 1 -3 0
53 Viktoria Berlin 1 0 0 1 -3 0
54 Schott Mainz 1 0 0 1 -3 0
55 Magdeburg 1 0 0 1 -4 0
56 Schwarz-Weiß Rehden 1 0 0 1 -4 0
57 BW Lohne 1 0 0 1 -4 0
58 Bremer Sv 1 0 0 1 -5 0
59 FC Viktoria Koln 1 0 0 1 -5 0
60 FV Engers 07 1 0 0 1 -6 0
61 Oberachern 1 0 0 1 -8 0
62 Neustrelitz 1 0 0 1 -8 0
63 Teutonia Ottensen 1 0 0 1 -8 0
64 Einheit Wernigerode 1 0 0 1 -10 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Stuttgart Ein Frankfurt
4′
🟨 Mario Götze
5′
🟨 Djibril Sow
Serhou Guirassy 🟨
9′
1–0 Tiago Tomás
J. Vagnoman
19′
Tiago Tomás 🟨
20′
D. Zagadou 🔁
↦ K. Mavropanos
32′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 Aurélio Buta
↦ S. Rode
51′
E. Ndicka 1–1
R. Kolo Muani
55′
D. Kamada 1–2
M. Hasebe
T. Coulibaly 🔁
↦ Tiago Tomás
63′
E. Millot 🔁
↦ W. Anton
63′
Fabian Bredlow 🟨
75′
77′
R. Kolo Muani 1–3
C. Führich 🔁
↦ W. Endo
78′
78′
🔁 J. Lindstrøm
↦ M. Götze
Borna Sosa 🟨
80′
Hiroki Ito 🟨
80′
83′
🔁 R. Borré
↦ R. Kolo Muani
2–3 E. Millot
S. Guirassy
83′
Borna Sosa 🟨
85′
Borna Sosa 🟥
85′
92′
🟨 Aurélio Buta
93′
🟨 Christopher Lenz
Hiroki Ito ℹ️
VAR: Penalty cancelled
97′
Full-time 2–3

Line-ups

Stuttgart

3-4-3
33 F. Bredlow G
5 K. Mavropanos D
2 W. Anton D
21 H. Ito D
4 J. Vagnoman M
16 A. Karazor M
3 W. Endo M
24 B. Sosa M
10 Tiago Tomás F
9 S. Guirassy F
14 S. Katompa Mvumpa F
Bench (9)
23 D. Zagadou
7 T. Coulibaly
8 E. Millot
22 C. Führich
1 F. Müller
11 J. Perea
17 G. Haraguchi
28 N. Nartey
15 P. Stenzel

Coach: S. Hoeneß

Ein Frankfurt

3-4-2-1
1 K. Trapp G
35 Tuta D
20 M. Hasebe D
2 E. Ndicka D
26 E. Ebimbe M
17 S. Rode M
8 D. Sow M
25 C. Lenz M
15 D. Kamada F
27 M. Götze F
9 R. Kolo Muani F
Bench (9)
24 Aurélio Buta
29 J. Lindstrøm
19 R. Borré
22 T. Chandler
30 P. Aaronson
36 A. Knauff
21 L. Alario
40 D. Ramaj
18 A. Touré

Coach: O. Glasner

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

D Schlager · 124 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.