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La Liga

Referee: Mario Melero

Las Palmas

T T T U T

2–2

Full-time

Alaves

T U T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Las Palmas Alaves

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 9%

17%

Points per game

0,2

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

50%

17%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

2,5

2,0

Scored

0,7

0,8

Conceded

1,8

1,2

Goal diff per game

-1,2

-0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — La Liga · 27/27 matches

Win Ø 22%

22%

Points per game

0,9

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 52%

56%

48%

Both score Ø 63%

70%

56%

Average goals

2,8

2,6

Scored

1,1

Conceded

1,7

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,6

-0,4

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1,77 xG 1,49

61% Possession 39%

14 Shots 9

7 Shots on target 3

2 Blocked shots 1

1 Goalkeeper saves 4

4 Corners 5

1 Offside 3

10 Free kicks against 22

5 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Las Palmas 19. · Alaves 18. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Barcelona	26	18	3	5	+46	+33.1	57
2	Real Madrid	27	17	6	4	+31	+24.7	57
3	Ath Madrid	27	16	8	3	+26	+19.7	56
4	Ath Bilbao	27	13	10	4	+21	+16.7	49
5	Villarreal	26	12	8	6	+12	+17.4	44
6	Betis	27	11	8	8	+2	+8.1	41
7	Mallorca	27	10	7	10	-7	-0.8	37
8	Vallecano	27	9	9	9	+0	+2.0	36
9	Celta	27	10	6	11	-1	+8.3	36
10	Sevilla	27	9	9	9	-4	-7.1	36
11	Sociedad	27	10	4	13	-5	-0.4	34
12	Getafe	27	8	9	10	+1	-6.2	33
13	Girona	27	9	6	12	-5	-1.8	33
14	Osasuna	26	7	12	7	-5	-7.7	33
15	Espanol	26	7	7	12	-12	-21.3	28
16	Valencia	27	6	9	12	-15	-8.2	27
17	Leganes	27	6	9	12	-16	-21.9	27
18	Alaves	27	6	8	13	-10	-2.8	26
19	Las Palmas	27	6	6	15	-15	-26.6	24
20	Valladolid	27	4	4	19	-44	-25.2	16

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Real Madrid	13	11	1	1	+21	+19.5	34
2	Ath Madrid	14	10	4	0	+17	+18.3	34
3	Ath Bilbao	14	8	5	1	+18	+12.5	29
4	Celta	14	9	2	3	+10	+6.0	29
5	Barcelona	12	9	0	3	+24	+23.5	27
6	Betis	14	7	5	2	+7	+14.6	26
7	Osasuna	14	6	6	2	+5	+1.7	24
8	Espanol	14	6	5	3	+3	-6.1	23
9	Valencia	14	6	3	5	+2	+2.4	21
10	Villarreal	12	5	5	2	+9	+8.3	20
11	Girona	13	6	2	5	+4	+6.0	20
12	Sociedad	14	6	2	6	+1	+4.2	20
13	Mallorca	14	5	5	4	-1	-2.6	20
14	Getafe	14	4	7	3	+3	+2.3	19
15	Vallecano	13	5	4	4	+1	+8.5	19
16	Sevilla	13	5	4	4	-3	-0.1	19
17	Leganes	13	5	2	6	-6	-7.2	17
18	Alaves	13	4	4	5	-2	-0.2	16
19	Las Palmas	13	3	4	6	-4	-6.6	13
20	Valladolid	13	3	4	6	-12	-6.2	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Barcelona	14	9	3	2	+22	+9.6	30
2	Villarreal	14	7	3	4	+3	+9.1	24
3	Real Madrid	14	6	5	3	+10	+5.2	23
4	Ath Madrid	13	6	4	3	+9	+1.4	22
5	Ath Bilbao	13	5	5	3	+3	+4.2	20
6	Sevilla	14	4	5	5	-1	-6.9	17
7	Vallecano	14	4	5	5	-1	-6.6	17
8	Mallorca	13	5	2	6	-6	+1.8	17
9	Betis	13	4	3	6	-5	-6.5	15
10	Getafe	13	4	2	7	-2	-8.5	14
11	Sociedad	13	4	2	7	-6	-4.6	14
12	Girona	14	3	4	7	-9	-7.8	13
13	Las Palmas	14	3	2	9	-11	-20.0	11
14	Alaves	14	2	4	8	-8	-2.6	10
15	Leganes	14	1	7	6	-10	-14.7	10
16	Osasuna	12	1	6	5	-10	-9.4	9
17	Celta	13	1	4	8	-11	+2.3	7
18	Valencia	13	0	6	7	-17	-10.5	6
19	Espanol	12	1	2	9	-15	-15.2	5
20	Valladolid	14	1	0	13	-32	-19.0	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.