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Süper Lig
Referee: B Pakkan
Ad. Demirspor
U U T T U
2–1
Full-time
Antalyaspor
S U U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ad. Demirspor Antalyaspor
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,7
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
2,8
3,0
Scored
1,2
2,0
Conceded
1,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Süper Lig · 16/16 matches
Win Ø 38%
38%
38%
Points per game
1,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 51%
63%
38%
Both score Ø 57%
63%
50%
Average goals
3,1
2,4
Scored
1,8
1,4
Conceded
1,3
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

1,56 xG 1,91
39% Possession 61%
6 Shots 22
2 Shots on target 3
1 Blocked shots 9
2 Goalkeeper saves 0
1 Corners 10
0 Offside 1
16 Free kicks against 10
5 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ad. Demirspor 7. · Antalyaspor 8.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Fenerbahce 16 14 1 1 +30 +27.7 43
2 Galatasaray 16 14 1 1 +23 +23.7 43
3 Trabzonspor 17 9 3 5 +11 +0.7 30
4 Kayserispor 17 8 5 4 +4 -3.2 29
5 Besiktas 16 8 2 6 +1 +5.7 26
6 Rizespor 16 7 4 5 -1 -3.7 25
7 Ad. Demirspor 16 6 6 4 +8 -0.1 24
8 Antalyaspor 16 6 6 4 +5 -0.3 24
9 Kasimpasa 16 6 4 6 -4 -5.8 22
10 Sivasspor 17 5 6 6 -7 -2.8 21
11 Hatayspor 16 4 7 5 +2 +3.7 19
12 Ankaragücü 16 4 7 5 +0 -2.2 19
13 Buyuksehyr 17 5 4 8 -3 -3.1 19
14 Gaziantep 17 6 1 10 -7 -5.3 19
15 Konyaspor 17 4 6 7 -4 -2.4 18
16 Karagumruk 17 4 5 8 +0 -6.0 17
17 Alanyaspor 16 4 5 7 -9 -2.4 17
18 Samsunspor 16 4 3 9 -8 +2.5 15
19 Pendikspor 16 3 4 9 -21 -11.3 13
20 İstanbulspor 17 2 2 13 -20 -15.3 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,07
U
3,76
B
3,19
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,60
U2,5
2,29
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

B Pakkan · 31 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,7 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
25,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,39 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.