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Süper Lig
Referee: A Bitigen
Ümraniyespor
T S U S T
1–2
Full-time
Fenerbahce
T S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ümraniyespor Fenerbahce
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,3
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,0
3,0
Scored
1,3
1,5
Conceded
1,7
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,0
This season — Süper Lig · 18/18 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
0,8
2,1
Over 2.5 Ø 62%
56%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
61%
39%
Average goals
2,9
3,6
Scored
1,2
2,4
Conceded
1,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,6
+1,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

33% Possession 67%
7 Shots 22
2 Shots on target 7
2 Blocked shots 8
6 Goalkeeper saves 1
1 Corners 6
1 Offside 2
11 Free kicks against 15
3 Yellow cards 4
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ümraniyespor 19. · Fenerbahce 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Galatasaray 19 14 3 2 +24 45
2 Fenerbahce 18 12 2 4 +23 38
3 Buyuksehyr 19 11 4 4 +10 37
4 Besiktas 18 10 5 3 +13 35
5 Trabzonspor 19 10 5 4 +5 35
6 Ad. Demirspor 19 9 7 3 +17 34
7 Konyaspor 19 6 9 4 +5 27
8 Kayserispor 19 8 2 9 +1 26
9 Alanyaspor 19 6 7 6 -1 25
10 Karagumruk 19 5 7 7 +1 22
11 Ankaragücü 19 6 4 9 -5 22
12 Giresunspor 19 5 6 8 -10 21
13 Gaziantep 19 4 7 8 -3 19
14 Kasimpasa 19 5 4 10 -13 19
15 Antalyaspor 18 5 3 10 -8 18
16 Sivasspor 19 4 6 9 -8 18
17 Hatayspor 18 4 5 9 -18 17
18 İstanbulspor 19 4 3 12 -22 15
19 Ümraniyespor 18 3 5 10 -11 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ümraniyespor Fenerbahce
12′
🟨 Lincoln
D. Avounou 🔁
↦ Allyson
44′
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 E. Mor
↦ Miguel Crespo
67′
🔁 E. Alioski
↦ İ. Kahveci
67′
🔁 M. Zajc
↦ Lincoln
Geraldo 🔁
↦ A. Bettaieb
70′
J. Sekidika 🔁
↦ O. Ayık
70′
73′
M. Batshuayi 0–1
A. Szalai
1–1 U. Nayir
D. Avounou
78′
82′
🔁 S. Dursun
↦ D. Rossi
A. Mršić 🔁
↦ O. Gürbulak
85′
S. Göksu 🔁
↦ K. Yılmaz
85′
88′
🟨 Michy Batshuayi
89′
T. Glumac 2–1
own goal
Orkun Ozdemir 🟨
92′
94′
🟨 Emre Mor
95′
🔁 İ. Yüksek
↦ E. Mor
Mehmet Umut Nayir ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
99′
Onur Atasayar 🟨
100′
Onur Atasayar 🟨
100′
Onur Atasayar 🟥
100′
105′
🟨 Miha Zajc
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Ümraniyespor

4-3-3
13 O. Özdemir G
90 S. Popov D
33 Allyson D
44 T. Glumac D
16 O. Atasayar D
20 O. Gürbulak M
5 I. Sackey M
41 K. Yılmaz M
11 O. Ayık F
18 U. Nayir F
27 A. Bettaieb F
Bench (10)
14 D. Avounou
29 Geraldo
77 J. Sekidika
39 A. Mršić
8 S. Göksu
3 E. Lenjani
7 V. Gheorghe
35 B. Özer
24 A. Epureanu
6 Y. Mertoğlu

Coach: R. Uçar

Fenerbahce

4-4-2
1 A. Bayındır G
7 F. Kadıoğlu D
3 S. Akaydin D
41 A. Szalai D
18 Lincoln D
17 İ. Kahveci M
5 Willian Arão M
27 Miguel Crespo M
9 D. Rossi M
13 E. Valencia F
23 M. Batshuayi F
Bench (10)
99 E. Mor
6 E. Alioski
26 M. Zajc
19 S. Dursun
80 İ. Yüksek
28 Luan Peres
8 M. Yandaş
10 A. Güler
70 İ. Eğribayat
4 S. Aziz

Coach: Jorge Jesus

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
5,66
U
4,41
B ✓
1,52
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,55
U2,5
2,40
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A Bitigen · 67 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,31 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.