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DBU Pokalen
Nykobing FC
T S U T S
1–1
Full-time
Naestved
S T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nykobing FC Naestved
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 25%
33%
17%
Average goals
3,8
2,7
Scored
2,2
1,7
Conceded
1,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,7
This season — DBU Pokalen · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 100%
100%
100%
Points per game
3,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 0%
0%
0%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
2,0
1,0
Scored
2,0
1,0
Conceded
0,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
+2,0
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Nykobing FC 29. · Naestved 42.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Hillerød 1 1 0 0 +12 3
2 Thisted FC 1 1 0 0 +8 3
3 Kolding IF 1 1 0 0 +8 3
4 Tårnby FF 1 1 0 0 +7 3
5 Espergærde 1 1 0 0 +6 3
6 Fredericia 1 1 0 0 +6 3
7 Skjold Sæby 1 1 0 0 +6 3
8 KRFK 1 1 0 0 +6 3
9 Esbjerg 1 1 0 0 +6 3
10 VSK Århus 1 1 0 0 +5 3
11 Marienlyst 1 1 0 0 +5 3
12 Roskilde 1 1 0 0 +5 3
13 HIK 1 1 0 0 +4 3
14 Vendsyssel FF 1 1 0 0 +4 3
15 Sundby 1 1 0 0 +4 3
16 Aarhus Fremad 1 1 0 0 +4 3
17 Vatanspor 1 1 0 0 +3 3
18 NB Bornholm 1 1 0 0 +3 3
19 FC Helsingor 1 1 0 0 +3 3
20 Vanløse 1 1 0 0 +3 3
21 Vejle 1 1 0 0 +3 3
22 Næsby 1 1 0 0 +3 3
23 Brabrand 1 1 0 0 +3 3
24 Allerød 1 1 0 0 +2 3
25 Aalborg 1 1 0 0 +2 3
26 Sydkysten 1 1 0 0 +2 3
27 Frederikssund 1 1 0 0 +2 3
28 Fuglebakken KFUM 1 1 0 0 +2 3
29 Nykobing FC 1 1 0 0 +2 3
30 SGI 1 1 0 0 +2 3
31 Middelfart 1 1 0 0 +2 3
32 Avarta 1 1 0 0 +2 3
33 Såby 1 1 0 0 +2 3
34 Hørsholm-Usserød 1 1 0 0 +2 3
35 Skive 1 1 0 0 +1 3
36 Lyseng 1 1 0 0 +1 3
37 Munkebo 1 1 0 0 +1 3
38 OKS 1 1 0 0 +1 3
39 AB Copenhagen 1 1 0 0 +1 3
40 Brønderslev 1 1 0 0 +1 3
41 Frem 1 1 0 0 +1 3
42 Naestved 1 1 0 0 +1 3
43 FA 2000 1 1 0 0 +1 3
44 Brønshøj 1 1 0 0 +1 3
45 Skovshoved 1 1 0 0 +1 3
46 Viby 1 0 1 0 +0 1
47 ASA Aarhus 1 0 1 0 +0 1
48 Odder 1 0 0 1 -1 0
49 Vejgaard B 1 0 0 1 -1 0
50 Morud 1 0 0 1 -1 0
51 Varde 1 0 0 1 -1 0
52 Holbæk B&I 1 0 0 1 -1 0
53 Kjellerup 1 0 0 1 -1 0
54 Ringsted 1 0 0 1 -1 0
55 Hvidovre IF 1 0 0 1 -1 0
56 Fremad Amager 1 0 0 1 -1 0
57 HB Koge 1 0 0 1 -1 0
58 Vigerslev 1 0 0 1 -1 0
59 Skjold Birkerød 1 0 0 1 -2 0
60 Holstebro 1 0 0 1 -2 0
61 Ishøj 1 0 0 1 -2 0
62 Boldklubben FIX 1 0 0 1 -2 0
63 Aalborg KFUM 1 0 0 1 -2 0
64 B 93 1 0 0 1 -2 0
65 Aabenraa 1 0 0 1 -2 0
66 Bredballe 1 0 0 1 -2 0
67 GVI 1 0 0 1 -2 0
68 Vaerlose 1 0 0 1 -2 0
69 Føroyar 1 0 0 1 -2 0
70 Nørresundby 1 0 0 1 -3 0
71 FC Nakskov 1 0 0 1 -3 0
72 Vallensbæk 1 0 0 1 -3 0
73 Køge Nord 1 0 0 1 -3 0
74 Tarup-Paarup 1 0 0 1 -3 0
75 Kolding B 1 0 0 1 -3 0
76 Aarhus Black Vipers 1 0 0 1 -3 0
77 Rudersdal 1 0 0 1 -4 0
78 Hobro 1 0 0 1 -4 0
79 Slagelse B&I 1 0 0 1 -4 0
80 Ringkøbing 1 0 0 1 -4 0
81 tst Fodbold 1 0 0 1 -5 0
82 Hedensted 1 0 0 1 -5 0
83 Handelsstandens 1 0 0 1 -5 0
84 BSI 1 0 0 1 -6 0
85 SfB-Oure 1 0 0 1 -6 0
86 Maribo 1 0 0 1 -6 0
87 Skanderborg 1 0 0 1 -6 0
88 Bogense 1 0 0 1 -6 0
89 Frederiksholm Sydhavnen 1 0 0 1 -7 0
90 Aabybro 1 0 0 1 -8 0
91 Glamsbjerg 1 0 0 1 -8 0
92 Vaeggerlose 1 0 0 1 -12 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Nykobing FC Naestved
29′
S. Hollensted 0–1
Half-time 1–1
1–1 B. Kold
55′
2–1 M. Dahl
121′
121′
J. Gertsen
penalty missed
3–1 E. Ogude
122′
122′
B. Kold
penalty missed
4–1 O. Gartig
123′
123′
M. Host Andersen 4–2
5–2 M. Bottker
124′
Full-time 5–2

Line-ups

Nykobing FC

Coach: C. Jensen

Naestved

Coach: R. Skovdahl

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.