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DBU Pokalen
Referee: P Warburg
Nykobing FC
T S S T S
2–2
Full-time
Fremad Amager
S S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nykobing FC Fremad Amager
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,2
3,2
Scored
1,3
2,0
Conceded
0,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,8
This season — DBU Pokalen · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 100%
100%
100%
Points per game
3,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
0%
100%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
1,0
5,0
Scored
1,0
5,0
Conceded
0,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+5,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Nykobing FC 38. · Fremad Amager 24.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Næsby 2 2 0 0 +13 6
2 Fredericia 2 2 0 0 +12 6
3 Holstebro 2 2 0 0 +11 6
4 Esbjerg 2 2 0 0 +10 6
5 Ishøj 2 2 0 0 +9 6
6 Kolding IF 2 2 0 0 +9 6
7 Frem 2 2 0 0 +8 6
8 Skive 2 2 0 0 +8 6
9 HB Koge 2 2 0 0 +6 6
10 Brabrand 2 2 0 0 +5 6
11 FC Helsingor 2 2 0 0 +5 6
12 Hillerød 2 2 0 0 +4 6
13 Roskilde 2 2 0 0 +3 6
14 VSK Århus 2 2 0 0 +3 6
15 Avarta 2 2 0 0 +3 6
16 Hvidovre IF 2 2 0 0 +2 6
17 Vendsyssel FF 2 2 0 0 +2 6
18 Brønshøj 2 1 1 0 +1 4
19 Middelfart 2 1 1 0 +1 4
20 Randers FC 1 1 0 0 +10 3
21 Vanløse 2 1 0 1 +9 3
22 Sonderjyske 1 1 0 0 +7 3
23 Aalborg 1 1 0 0 +7 3
24 Fremad Amager 1 1 0 0 +5 3
25 Viborg 1 1 0 0 +4 3
26 AB Copenhagen 1 1 0 0 +4 3
27 Hørsholm-Usserød 2 1 0 1 +3 3
28 Holbæk B&I 1 1 0 0 +3 3
29 OKS 2 1 0 1 +2 3
30 Hobro 2 1 0 1 +2 3
31 Horsens 2 1 0 1 +1 3
32 Silkeborg KFUM 2 1 0 1 +1 3
33 Vejgaard B 2 1 0 1 +1 3
34 Gørslev 2 1 0 1 +1 3
35 Allerød 2 1 0 1 +1 3
36 Aarhus Fremad 2 1 0 1 +1 3
37 B 93 1 1 0 0 +1 3
38 Nykobing FC 1 1 0 0 +1 3
39 B 1908 1 1 0 0 +1 3
40 SGI 2 1 0 1 +0 3
41 B 1909 2 1 0 1 -2 3
42 NB Bornholm 2 1 0 1 -2 3
43 Herlev 2 1 0 1 -2 3
44 Thisted FC 2 1 0 1 -2 3
45 B 1913 2 1 0 1 -4 3
46 Solrød 2 1 0 1 -4 3
47 Give Fremad 2 1 0 1 -4 3
48 Morud/Veflinge 2 1 0 1 -6 3
49 ACFC 2 1 0 1 -8 3
50 Vejle 1 0 1 0 +0 1
51 Dalum 1 0 1 0 +0 1
52 Odense 1 0 1 0 +0 1
53 Kolding B 2 0 1 1 -1 1
54 Skjold Birkerød 1 0 0 1 -1 0
55 Tarup-Paarup 1 0 0 1 -1 0
56 LKB-Gistrup 1 0 0 1 -1 0
57 Ringsted 1 0 0 1 -1 0
58 ASA Aarhus 1 0 0 1 -1 0
59 Kastrup 1 0 0 1 -1 0
60 BBB 1 0 0 1 -1 0
61 Karlslunde 1 0 0 1 -1 0
62 Lyseng 1 0 0 1 -1 0
63 Svebølle 1 0 0 1 -1 0
64 Vigerslev 1 0 0 1 -1 0
65 Nerashté Ballerup 1 0 0 1 -1 0
66 SfB-Oure 1 0 0 1 -2 0
67 Sundby 1 0 0 1 -2 0
68 AB Tårnby 1 0 0 1 -2 0
69 Christiansbjerg 1 0 0 1 -2 0
70 HIK 1 0 0 1 -2 0
71 Odder 1 0 0 1 -2 0
72 Naestved 1 0 0 1 -2 0
73 Vatanspor 1 0 0 1 -2 0
74 Gladsaxe 1 0 0 1 -2 0
75 Lyngby 1 0 0 1 -3 0
76 Nørresundby 1 0 0 1 -3 0
77 FC Nakskov 1 0 0 1 -3 0
78 Aalborg Freja 1 0 0 1 -3 0
79 BiH Odense 1 0 0 1 -3 0
80 Jyllinge 1 0 0 1 -3 0
81 B 1960 1 0 0 1 -3 0
82 Gug 1 0 0 1 -3 0
83 Aalborg Chang 1 0 0 1 -3 0
84 FA 2000 1 0 0 1 -4 0
85 ØB 1 0 0 1 -4 0
86 FB 1 0 0 1 -4 0
87 Skjern 1 0 0 1 -4 0
88 Herlufsholm 1 0 0 1 -4 0
89 Bagsværd 1 0 0 1 -5 0
90 Kjellerup 1 0 0 1 -5 0
91 ESPM 1 0 0 1 -5 0
92 Sønderborg Fremad 1 0 0 1 -6 0
93 Varde 1 0 0 1 -6 0
94 NFB 1 0 0 1 -6 0
95 Ringkøbing 1 0 0 1 -8 0
96 Fredericia FF 1 0 0 1 -8 0
97 Lemming 1 0 0 1 -9 0
98 LUIF 1 0 0 1 -10 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Nykobing FC Fremad Amager
Half-time 0–0
O. Gartig 🔁
↦ A. Basbas
46′
47′
O. Dupont 0–1
M. Nykjaer 🟨
50′
S. Madsen 🔁
↦ M. Rasmussen
54′
74′
🟨 M. Heller
1–1 O. Gartig
76′
79′
🟨 M. Lauritsen
91′
🔁 K. Andersen
↦ M. Lauritsen
N. Larsen 🔁
↦ R. Berner
95′
107′
🟨
108′
🟨 M. Belmaillah
2–1 V. Koch
114′
120′
M. Heller 2–2
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Nykobing FC

25 J. Rasmussen
4 A. Basbas
2 O. Angus
10 E. Wass
8 J. Pank
14 M. Nykjær
22 M. Rasmussen
15 R. Berner
Bench (6)
23 O. Gartig
17 S. Madsen
29 N. Larsen
1 T. Brogaard
19 V. Koch
21 E. Nilsson

Coach: C. Jensen

Fremad Amager

30 H. Dalsgaard
3 J. Wielzen
2 O. Dupont
18 C. Troelsen
19 M. Heller
29 L. Keita
15 H. Høllsberg
23 M. Lauritsen
Bench (5)
8 K. Andersen
12 H. Derrar
26 M. Belmaillah
27 H. Tümtürk
24 V. Schönewolf-Greulich

Coach: C. Iversen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.