Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Team trends
Leça
AD Marco 09
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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The table before the match ▾
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Sanjoanense
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +5 | 3 |
| 2 |
Rebordosa
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 3 |
| 3 |
Machico
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 3 |
| 4 |
Academica
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 5 |
União Santarém
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 6 |
Guarda
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 7 |
Lusitânia Lourosa
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 8 |
Ovarense
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| 9 |
São João Ver
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| 10 |
Estarreja
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 11 |
União Lamas
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 12 |
Benfica Castelo Branco
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 13 |
Sacavenense
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 14 |
Juventude Gaula
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 0 |
| 15 |
Macedo Cavaleiros
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 0 |
| 16 |
Ginásio Figueirense
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -5 | 0 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.