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Taça de Portugal

Fafe

S T T

1–4

Full-time

Amarante

T S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Fafe Amarante

Last 6 — all competitions · 3/5 matches

Win Ø 47%

33%

60%

Points per game

1,0

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 60%

100%

20%

Both score Ø 44%

67%

20%

Average goals

3,7

2,0

Scored

2,3

1,2

Conceded

1,3

0,8

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sanjoanense	1	1	0	0	+5	3
2	Rebordosa	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	Machico	1	1	0	0	+3	3
4	Os Limianos	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Academica	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	União Santarém	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	Operário	1	1	0	0	+2	3
8	Guarda	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Lusitânia Lourosa	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Leça	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	AD Marco 09	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	União de Coimbra	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Beira-Mar	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Ovarense	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	São João Ver	1	0	1	0	+0	1
16	Estarreja	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	União Lamas	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Valpaços	1	0	0	1	-2	0
19	Benfica Castelo Branco	1	0	0	1	-2	0
20	Sacavenense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
21	Abrantes e Benfica	1	0	0	1	-2	0
22	Juventude Gaula	1	0	0	1	-3	0
23	Macedo Cavaleiros	1	0	0	1	-3	0
24	Ginásio Figueirense	1	0	0	1	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rebordosa	1	1	0	0	+3	3
2	Machico	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	Academica	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	União Santarém	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Guarda	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Lusitânia Lourosa	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Leça	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	União de Coimbra	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Ovarense	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Valpaços	1	0	0	1	-2	0
11	Abrantes e Benfica	1	0	0	1	-2	0
12	Ginásio Figueirense	1	0	0	1	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sanjoanense	1	1	0	0	+5	3
2	Os Limianos	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	Operário	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	AD Marco 09	1	0	1	0	+0	1
5	Beira-Mar	1	0	1	0	+0	1
6	São João Ver	1	0	1	0	+0	1
7	Estarreja	1	0	0	1	-1	0
8	União Lamas	1	0	0	1	-1	0
9	Benfica Castelo Branco	1	0	0	1	-2	0
10	Sacavenense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
11	Juventude Gaula	1	0	0	1	-3	0
12	Macedo Cavaleiros	1	0	0	1	-3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.