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Taça de Portugal
Dumiense
S T S S T
2–3
Full-time
Vilaverdense
S T S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Dumiense Vilaverdense
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 83%
83%
83%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
4,8
4,8
Scored
2,2
3,2
Conceded
2,7
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+1,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sanjoanense 1 1 0 0 +5 3
2 Amarante 1 1 0 0 +3 3
3 Rebordosa 1 1 0 0 +3 3
4 Machico 1 1 0 0 +3 3
5 Os Limianos 1 1 0 0 +2 3
6 Academica 1 1 0 0 +2 3
7 União Santarém 1 1 0 0 +2 3
8 Operário 1 1 0 0 +2 3
9 Guarda 1 1 0 0 +1 3
10 Lusitânia Lourosa 1 1 0 0 +1 3
11 Leça 1 0 1 0 +0 1
12 AD Marco 09 1 0 1 0 +0 1
13 União de Coimbra 1 0 1 0 +0 1
14 Beira-Mar 1 0 1 0 +0 1
15 Ovarense 1 0 1 0 +0 1
16 São João Ver 1 0 1 0 +0 1
17 Estarreja 1 0 0 1 -1 0
18 União Lamas 1 0 0 1 -1 0
19 Valpaços 1 0 0 1 -2 0
20 Benfica Castelo Branco 1 0 0 1 -2 0
21 Sacavenense 1 0 0 1 -2 0
22 Abrantes e Benfica 1 0 0 1 -2 0
23 Fafe 1 0 0 1 -3 0
24 Juventude Gaula 1 0 0 1 -3 0
25 Macedo Cavaleiros 1 0 0 1 -3 0
26 Ginásio Figueirense 1 0 0 1 -5 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.