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Coupe de France
Referee: J Pignard
Metz
S T T T T
1–1
Full-time
Clermont
U T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Metz Clermont
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,0
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,8
2,5
Scored
1,2
0,5
Conceded
1,7
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-1,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

33% Possession 67%
12 Shots 14
3 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
2 Corners 4
2 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rodez 3 3 0 0 +16 9
2 Racing Colombes 92 3 3 0 0 +4 9
3 Feignies-Aulnoye 3 3 0 0 +3 9
4 Valenciennes 3 2 1 0 +4 7
5 Romorantin 2 2 0 0 +7 6
6 Olympique d'Alès 2 2 0 0 +6 6
7 Bergerac 2 2 0 0 +6 6
8 Caen 2 2 0 0 +6 6
9 Laval 2 2 0 0 +6 6
10 Chambly Thelle FC 3 2 0 1 +5 6
11 Chateauroux 2 2 0 0 +5 6
12 Quevilly Rouen 3 2 0 1 +5 6
13 Orleans 2 2 0 0 +5 6
14 Sochaux 2 2 0 0 +5 6
15 Thionville Lusitanos 2 2 0 0 +5 6
16 Le Puy Foot 2 2 0 0 +5 6
17 Lyon Duchere 2 2 0 0 +4 6
18 Saint-Priest 2 2 0 0 +4 6
19 Feurs 2 2 0 0 +4 6
20 Dinan Léhon 2 2 0 0 +4 6
21 Amiens 2 2 0 0 +4 6
22 Sarreguemines 3 2 0 1 +3 6
23 Libourne 2 2 0 0 +3 6
24 Dieppe 2 2 0 0 +3 6
25 Nimes 2 2 0 0 +3 6
26 Angers 2 2 0 0 +3 6
27 Entente S St Gratien 2 2 0 0 +3 6
28 Pau FC 3 2 0 1 +2 6
29 Les Herbiers 2 2 0 0 +2 6
30 Rouen 2 2 0 0 +2 6
31 Avoine OCC 2 1 1 0 +3 4
32 Auxerre 2 1 1 0 +3 4
33 Revel 2 1 1 0 +3 4
34 Paris FC 2 1 1 0 +2 4
35 Trélissac 2 1 1 0 +2 4
36 Louhans-Cuiseaux 2 1 1 0 +1 4
37 Cannes 2 1 1 0 +1 4
38 Grenoble 2 1 1 0 +1 4
39 Guingamp 2 1 1 0 +1 4
40 Union Cosnoise 2 1 1 0 +1 4
41 Epinal 2 1 1 0 +1 4
42 Mulhouse 2 1 1 0 +1 4
43 Paimpol 2 1 1 0 +1 4
44 Bordeaux 2 1 1 0 +1 4
45 Chambéry 2 1 1 0 +1 4
46 Dunkerque 2 1 1 0 +1 4
47 Blagnac 2 1 1 0 +1 4
48 Fleury 91 2 1 1 0 +1 4
49 Sarre Union 2 1 1 0 +1 4
50 Pontarlier 2 1 1 0 +1 4
51 Dijon 2 1 0 1 +4 3
52 Vitré 2 1 0 1 +4 3
53 Nantes 1 1 0 0 +3 3
54 Métropole Troyenne 2 1 0 1 +2 3
55 Ajaccio 2 1 0 1 +2 3
56 Villers Houlgate CF 2 1 0 1 +2 3
57 St Etienne 2 1 0 1 +2 3
58 Martigues 2 1 0 1 +1 3
59 Golden Lion 1 1 0 0 +1 3
60 St-Philbert Gd Lieu 2 1 0 1 +1 3
61 Pontivy GSI 2 1 0 1 +1 3
62 Furiani-Agliani 2 1 0 1 +1 3
63 Entente Itancourt-Neu. 2 1 0 1 +0 3
64 Castanet 2 1 0 1 +0 3
65 Ergué-Gaberic 2 1 0 1 +0 3
66 Thaon 2 1 0 1 +0 3
67 Annecy 2 1 0 1 +0 3
68 Plessis Robinson 92 2 1 0 1 +0 3
69 AG Caennaise 2 1 0 1 +0 3
70 Angoulême 2 1 0 1 +0 3
71 Panazol 2 1 0 1 -1 3
72 Villenave 2 1 0 1 -1 3
73 Biesheim 2 1 0 1 -1 3
74 Hauts Lyonnais 2 1 0 1 -1 3
75 Bassin d'Arcachon Sud 2 1 0 1 -1 3
76 RC Calais 2 1 0 1 -2 3
77 Saint-Meziery 2 1 0 1 -2 3
78 Coulaines 2 1 0 1 -3 3
79 JS Douvres 2 1 0 1 -3 3
80 Stade Mayennais 2 1 0 1 -8 3
81 Fabrègues 2 0 2 0 +0 2
82 Reims Sainte-Anne 2 0 2 0 +0 2
83 Saint-Omer 2 0 2 0 +0 2
84 Challans 3 0 2 1 -4 2
85 Concarneau 1 0 1 0 +0 1
86 Saint-Malo 1 0 1 0 +0 1
87 Villejuif 1 0 1 0 +0 1
88 Aubagne 1 0 1 0 +0 1
89 Squadra Valincu ARR 1 0 1 0 +0 1
90 Nœux-les-Mines 1 0 1 0 +0 1
91 Étoile Maritime 1 0 1 0 +0 1
92 Stade Plabennec 1 0 1 0 +0 1
93 Boulogne 1 0 1 0 +0 1
94 Canet Roussillon 1 0 1 0 +0 1
95 Moulien 1 0 1 0 +0 1
96 Limonest 1 0 1 0 +0 1
97 Le Pays du Valois 1 0 1 0 +0 1
98 Hyères 1 0 1 0 +0 1
99 Forbach 1 0 1 0 +0 1
100 ASPTT Dijon 1 0 1 0 +0 1
101 Stade Briochin 2 0 1 1 -1 1
102 Thonon Évian 2 0 1 1 -1 1
103 Saint-Denis 2 0 1 1 -2 1
104 Domerat 2 0 1 1 -3 1
105 Chaponnay-Marennes 2 0 1 1 -3 1
106 Blériot-Plage 2 0 1 1 -3 1
107 Geispolsheim 2 0 1 1 -4 1
108 Croix Football IC 1 0 0 1 -1 0
109 Dives-Cabourg 1 0 0 1 -1 0
110 Schweighouse s/Moder 1 0 0 1 -1 0
111 Red Star 1 0 0 1 -1 0
112 Jura Sud Foot 1 0 0 1 -1 0
113 Mâcon 1 0 0 1 -1 0
114 Espaly-Saint-Marcel 1 0 0 1 -1 0
115 Roche Saint-Genest 1 0 0 1 -1 0
116 Stade Pontivy 1 0 0 1 -1 0
117 Avranches 1 0 0 1 -1 0
118 Troyes 1 0 0 1 -1 0
119 Villefranche 1 0 0 1 -1 0
120 Cholet 1 0 0 1 -1 0
121 Brissac 1 0 0 1 -1 0
122 Fos 1 0 0 1 -1 0
123 Drapeau Fougères 1 0 0 1 -1 0
124 Bourgoin-Jallieu 1 0 0 1 -1 0
125 Longueau 1 0 0 1 -1 0
126 Jura Dolois 1 0 0 1 -1 0
127 France Aizenay 1 0 0 1 -1 0
128 Saumur 1 0 0 1 -1 0
129 Flers 1 0 0 1 -1 0
130 US Laon 1 0 0 1 -1 0
131 Choisy au Bac 1 0 0 1 -1 0
132 Volvic 1 0 0 1 -1 0
133 APM Metz 1 0 0 1 -1 0
134 Chauray 1 0 0 1 -1 0
135 Chaumont 1 0 0 1 -1 0
136 Vierzon FC 1 0 0 1 -1 0
137 Chantilly 1 0 0 1 -1 0
138 Bondues 1 0 0 1 -1 0
139 Pirae 1 0 0 1 -1 0
140 Bayonne 1 0 0 1 -1 0
141 Colmar 1 0 0 1 -1 0
142 Torcy 1 0 0 1 -1 0
143 Isle 1 0 0 1 -1 0
144 Morlaas Est-Bearn 1 0 0 1 -1 0
145 Aunis Avenir 1 0 0 1 -1 0
146 Jarville 1 0 0 1 -2 0
147 Velay 1 0 0 1 -2 0
148 Saint-Renan 1 0 0 1 -2 0
149 TA Rennes 1 0 0 1 -2 0
150 Roannais Foot 1 0 0 1 -2 0
151 Haguenau 1 0 0 1 -2 0
152 Villerupt Thil 1 0 0 1 -2 0
153 Neuville 1 0 0 1 -2 0
154 Houilles 1 0 0 1 -2 0
155 Plougastel 1 0 0 1 -2 0
156 Noisy-le-Sec 1 0 0 1 -2 0
157 Le Poiré sur Vie 1 0 0 1 -2 0
158 Seyssins 1 0 0 1 -2 0
159 Saint-Michel 91 1 0 0 1 -2 0
160 Camon 1 0 0 1 -3 0
161 Bastia 1 0 0 1 -3 0
162 Le Geldar 1 0 0 1 -3 0
163 Le Quesnoy 1 0 0 1 -3 0
164 Toulouse Métropole 1 0 0 1 -3 0
165 Poitiers 1 0 0 1 -3 0
166 Hombourg-Haut 1 0 0 1 -3 0
167 Loon-Plage 1 0 0 1 -3 0
168 Bourg-en-bresse 01 1 0 0 1 -3 0
169 Liffré 1 0 0 1 -3 0
170 St-Aubin Guérande 1 0 0 1 -3 0
171 Hienghène Sport 1 0 0 1 -4 0
172 Lavernose Lherm 1 0 0 1 -4 0
173 Montdidier 1 0 0 1 -4 0
174 Montlouis 1 0 0 1 -4 0
175 Auch 1 0 0 1 -4 0
176 FC Equeurdreville 1 0 0 1 -4 0
177 Rosador 1 0 0 1 -5 0
178 Provin 1 0 0 1 -5 0
179 Doullens 1 0 0 1 -6 0
180 Châteaugiron 1 0 0 1 -6 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Metz Clermont
1–0 S. Sané
A. Atta
22′
33′
🔁 B. Boutobba
↦ M. Cham
Half-time 1–0
J. Asoro 🔁
↦ C. Sabaly
46′
48′
J. Allevinah 1–1
M. Gonalons
D. Jean-Jacques 🔁
↦ K. NDoram
58′
70′
🔁 H. Keïta
↦ M. Gonalons
71′
🔁 Y. Magnin
↦ C. Konaté
P. Diallo 🔁
↦ M. Mbaye
74′
80′
🔁 M. Zeffane
↦ J. Gastien
80′
🔁 G. Kyei
↦ S. Nicholson
J. N'Guessan 🔁
↦ S. Sané
84′
I. Sané 🔁
↦ B. Tetteh
84′
121′
J. Allevinah 1–2
J. Asoro
penalty missed
122′
123′
F. Ogier
penalty missed
2–2 P. Diallo
124′
125′
Neto Borges 2–3
M. Colin
penalty missed
126′
127′
M. Zeffane 2–4
K. Kouao
penalty missed
128′
Full-time 2–4

Line-ups

Metz

4-2-3-1
1 A. Oukidja G
3 K. Kouao D
8 I. Traoré D
5 C. Hérelle D
2 M. Colin D
4 S. Sané M
6 K. N'Doram M
11 M. Mbaye M
10 A. Atta M
7 C. Sabaly M
9 B. Tetteh F
Bench (9)
12 J. Asoro
20 D. Jean-Jacques
19 P. Diallo
15 J. N'Guessan
17 I. Sané
13 A. Lô
14 J. Nduquidi
18 C. Divialle-Corbière
16 G. Dietsch

Coach: L. Bölöni

Clermont

3-4-2-1
1 M. Ndiaye G
5 A. Pelmard D
4 F. Ogier D
3 Neto Borges D
2 C. Konaté M
8 M. Gonalons M
6 J. Gastien M
7 Y. Armougom M
11 J. Allevinah F
10 M. Cham F
9 S. Nicholson F
Bench (9)
14 B. Boutobba
12 H. Keïta
13 Y. Magnin
18 M. Zeffane
20 G. Kyei
17 M. Sylla
19 A. Mabrouk
15 K. Andrić
16 T. Borne

Coach: P. Gastien

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

J Pignard · 145 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,29 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.