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Coupe de France
Referee: V Ougier

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Roche Saint-Genest Saint-Priest
Last 6 — all competitions · 2/1 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
1,5
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
50%
0%
Both score Ø 25%
50%
0%
Average goals
2,0
1,0
Scored
1,0
0,0
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Dijon 1 1 0 0 +6 3
2 Olympique d'Alès 1 1 0 0 +5 3
3 Laval 1 1 0 0 +5 3
4 Thionville Lusitanos 1 1 0 0 +4 3
5 Orleans 1 1 0 0 +4 3
6 Lyon Duchere 1 1 0 0 +3 3
7 Amiens 1 1 0 0 +3 3
8 Caen 1 1 0 0 +3 3
9 St Etienne 1 1 0 0 +3 3
10 Rodez 1 1 0 0 +3 3
11 Martigues 1 1 0 0 +2 3
12 Valenciennes 1 1 0 0 +2 3
13 Hauts Lyonnais 1 1 0 0 +2 3
14 Angers 1 1 0 0 +2 3
15 Entente Itancourt-Neu. 1 1 0 0 +1 3
16 Chateauroux 1 1 0 0 +1 3
17 Sochaux 1 1 0 0 +1 3
18 Les Herbiers 1 1 0 0 +1 3
19 Epinal 1 1 0 0 +1 3
20 Grenoble 1 1 0 0 +1 3
21 Coulaines 1 1 0 0 +1 3
22 Plessis Robinson 92 1 1 0 0 +1 3
23 Annecy 1 1 0 0 +1 3
24 Sarre Union 1 1 0 0 +1 3
25 Dunkerque 1 1 0 0 +1 3
26 Union Cosnoise 1 1 0 0 +1 3
27 Feignies-Aulnoye 1 1 0 0 +1 3
28 Saint-Meziery 1 1 0 0 +1 3
29 Stade Briochin 1 0 1 0 +0 1
30 Concarneau 1 0 1 0 +0 1
31 Villejuif 1 0 1 0 +0 1
32 Paris FC 1 0 1 0 +0 1
33 Thonon Évian 1 0 1 0 +0 1
34 Aubagne 1 0 1 0 +0 1
35 Canet Roussillon 1 0 1 0 +0 1
36 Bordeaux 1 0 1 0 +0 1
37 Limonest 1 0 1 0 +0 1
38 Domerat 1 0 1 0 +0 1
39 Chaponnay-Marennes 1 0 1 0 +0 1
40 Hyères 1 0 1 0 +0 1
41 Croix Football IC 1 0 0 1 -1 0
42 Red Star 1 0 0 1 -1 0
43 Jura Sud Foot 1 0 0 1 -1 0
44 Avranches 1 0 0 1 -1 0
45 Troyes 1 0 0 1 -1 0
46 Villefranche 1 0 0 1 -1 0
47 Cholet 1 0 0 1 -1 0
48 Brissac 1 0 0 1 -1 0
49 Fos 1 0 0 1 -1 0
50 APM Metz 1 0 0 1 -1 0
51 Chaumont 1 0 0 1 -1 0
52 Chantilly 1 0 0 1 -1 0
53 Bondues 1 0 0 1 -1 0
54 Pirae 1 0 0 1 -1 0
55 Velay 1 0 0 1 -2 0
56 Haguenau 1 0 0 1 -2 0
57 Neuville 1 0 0 1 -2 0
58 Houilles 1 0 0 1 -2 0
59 Bastia 1 0 0 1 -3 0
60 Hombourg-Haut 1 0 0 1 -3 0
61 Loon-Plage 1 0 0 1 -3 0
62 Bourg-en-bresse 01 1 0 0 1 -3 0
63 Liffré 1 0 0 1 -3 0
64 Hienghène Sport 1 0 0 1 -4 0
65 Lavernose Lherm 1 0 0 1 -4 0
66 Rosador 1 0 0 1 -5 0
67 Provin 1 0 0 1 -5 0
68 Doullens 1 0 0 1 -6 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Roche Saint-Genest Saint-Priest
1–0 J. Lornage
13′
16′
M. Benhmida 1–1
Half-time 1–1
r. Genevrier 🔁
↦ L. Sayad
48′
E. Genevrier 🔁
↦ B. Toumi
62′
H. Bernocolo 🔁
↦ E. Aulanier
62′
66′
🔁 M. Foures
↦ L. Fleury
68′
M. Essimi Ateba 1–2
E. Douala 🔁
↦ M. Rubio
73′
73′
🔁 K. Slimani
↦ M. De Jacob
81′
🔁 K. Mahdar
↦ S. Mila
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Roche Saint-Genest

i. Lammari
D. Poinas
E. Aulanier
A. Cambise
L. Sayad
E. Lacour
T. Hamidi
J. Lornage
B. Toumi
M. Rubio
M. Tatuszka
Bench (7)
r. Genevrier
E. Genevrier
H. Bernocolo
E. Douala
L. Gautron
M. Bariol
T. Soares

Coach: C. Peillon

Saint-Priest

L. Fleury
M. Dia
R. Tahar
K. Oun
A. Muller
J. Kalulu
M. Essimi Ateba
S. Mila
M. De Jacob
D. Doucoure
M. Benhmida
Bench (7)
M. Foures
K. Slimani
K. Mahdar
B. Haddaoui
K. Benotmane
K. Moutlen
M. Chollet

Coach: M. Napoletano

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.