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Coupe de France
Referee: V Beyer
1–0
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Dijon 1 1 0 0 +6 3
2 Olympique d'Alès 1 1 0 0 +5 3
3 Laval 1 1 0 0 +5 3
4 Thionville Lusitanos 1 1 0 0 +4 3
5 Orleans 1 1 0 0 +4 3
6 Lyon Duchere 1 1 0 0 +3 3
7 Amiens 1 1 0 0 +3 3
8 St Etienne 1 1 0 0 +3 3
9 Rodez 1 1 0 0 +3 3
10 Valenciennes 1 1 0 0 +2 3
11 Hauts Lyonnais 1 1 0 0 +2 3
12 Angers 1 1 0 0 +2 3
13 Entente Itancourt-Neu. 1 1 0 0 +1 3
14 Chateauroux 1 1 0 0 +1 3
15 Sochaux 1 1 0 0 +1 3
16 Les Herbiers 1 1 0 0 +1 3
17 Epinal 1 1 0 0 +1 3
18 Grenoble 1 1 0 0 +1 3
19 Coulaines 1 1 0 0 +1 3
20 Plessis Robinson 92 1 1 0 0 +1 3
21 Dunkerque 1 1 0 0 +1 3
22 Feignies-Aulnoye 1 1 0 0 +1 3
23 Saint-Meziery 1 1 0 0 +1 3
24 Stade Briochin 1 0 1 0 +0 1
25 Concarneau 1 0 1 0 +0 1
26 Villejuif 1 0 1 0 +0 1
27 Paris FC 1 0 1 0 +0 1
28 Thonon Évian 1 0 1 0 +0 1
29 Aubagne 1 0 1 0 +0 1
30 Canet Roussillon 1 0 1 0 +0 1
31 Bordeaux 1 0 1 0 +0 1
32 Chaponnay-Marennes 1 0 1 0 +0 1
33 Hyères 1 0 1 0 +0 1
34 Croix Football IC 1 0 0 1 -1 0
35 Red Star 1 0 0 1 -1 0
36 Jura Sud Foot 1 0 0 1 -1 0
37 Avranches 1 0 0 1 -1 0
38 Troyes 1 0 0 1 -1 0
39 Villefranche 1 0 0 1 -1 0
40 Cholet 1 0 0 1 -1 0
41 Brissac 1 0 0 1 -1 0
42 Chaumont 1 0 0 1 -1 0
43 Bondues 1 0 0 1 -1 0
44 Pirae 1 0 0 1 -1 0
45 Haguenau 1 0 0 1 -2 0
46 Neuville 1 0 0 1 -2 0
47 Houilles 1 0 0 1 -2 0
48 Bastia 1 0 0 1 -3 0
49 Hombourg-Haut 1 0 0 1 -3 0
50 Bourg-en-bresse 01 1 0 0 1 -3 0
51 Liffré 1 0 0 1 -3 0
52 Hienghène Sport 1 0 0 1 -4 0
53 Lavernose Lherm 1 0 0 1 -4 0
54 Rosador 1 0 0 1 -5 0
55 Provin 1 0 0 1 -5 0
56 Doullens 1 0 0 1 -6 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.