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Coppa Italia

Referee: G Ayroldi

Fiorentina

S U U S T

1–3

Full-time

Como

S U T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Fiorentina Como

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

33%

67%

Points per game

1,3

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

2,3

3,2

Scored

1,2

2,5

Conceded

1,2

0,7

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+1,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

43% Possession 57%

6 Shots 17

4 Shots on target 9

0 Blocked shots 2

6 Goalkeeper saves 3

1 Corners 6

2 Offside 1

11 Free kicks against 19

2 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Torino	3	3	0	0	+3	9
2	Como	2	2	0	0	+5	6
3	Milan	3	2	0	1	+4	6
4	Genoa	3	2	0	1	+1	6
5	Udinese	3	2	0	1	+1	6
6	Cagliari	3	1	2	0	+3	5
7	Virtus Entella	2	1	1	0	+4	4
8	Parma	3	1	1	1	+1	4
9	Audace Cerignola	2	1	1	0	+1	4
10	Venezia	3	1	1	1	+0	4
11	Inter	1	1	0	0	+4	3
12	Atalanta	1	1	0	0	+4	3
13	Juventus	1	1	0	0	+2	3
14	Bologna	1	1	0	0	+1	3
15	Lazio	1	1	0	0	+1	3
16	Lecce	2	1	0	1	-1	3
17	Vicenza	2	1	0	1	-1	3
18	Pescara	2	1	0	1	-1	3
19	Frosinone	2	1	0	1	-2	3
20	Sassuolo	2	1	0	1	-2	3
21	Spezia	2	0	2	0	+0	2
22	Verona	2	0	2	0	+0	2
23	Napoli	1	0	1	0	+0	1
24	Sampdoria	1	0	1	0	+0	1
25	Reggiana	1	0	1	0	+0	1
26	Cremonese	1	0	1	0	+0	1
27	Cesena	1	0	1	0	+0	1
28	Palermo	2	0	1	1	-1	1
29	Pisa	2	0	1	1	-1	1
30	Empoli	2	0	1	1	-2	1
31	Roma	1	0	0	1	-1	0
32	Modena	1	0	0	1	-1	0
33	Catanzaro	1	0	0	1	-1	0
34	Monza	1	0	0	1	-1	0
35	Rimini	1	0	0	1	-1	0
36	Avellino	1	0	0	1	-1	0
37	Sudtirol	1	0	0	1	-2	0
38	Carrarese	1	0	0	1	-2	0
39	Bari	1	0	0	1	-2	0
40	Juve Stabia	1	0	0	1	-2	0
41	Padova	1	0	0	1	-2	0
42	Mantova	1	0	0	1	-4	0
43	Ternana	1	0	0	1	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Genoa	2	2	0	0	+5	6
2	Como	2	2	0	0	+5	6
3	Milan	2	2	0	0	+5	6
4	Udinese	2	2	0	0	+3	6
5	Torino	2	2	0	0	+2	6
6	Cagliari	2	1	1	0	+3	4
7	Parma	2	1	1	0	+2	4
8	Audace Cerignola	2	1	1	0	+1	4
9	Inter	1	1	0	0	+4	3
10	Atalanta	1	1	0	0	+4	3
11	Venezia	1	1	0	0	+4	3
12	Virtus Entella	1	1	0	0	+4	3
13	Juventus	1	1	0	0	+2	3
14	Lecce	1	1	0	0	+2	3
15	Bologna	1	1	0	0	+1	3
16	Lazio	1	1	0	0	+1	3
17	Sassuolo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
18	Pescara	1	1	0	0	+1	3
19	Napoli	1	0	1	0	+0	1
20	Spezia	1	0	1	0	+0	1
21	Empoli	1	0	1	0	+0	1
22	Verona	1	0	1	0	+0	1
23	Cremonese	1	0	1	0	+0	1
24	Cesena	1	0	1	0	+0	1
25	Roma	1	0	0	1	-1	0
26	Monza	1	0	0	1	-1	0
27	Padova	1	0	0	1	-2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Torino	1	1	0	0	+1	3
2	Vicenza	2	1	0	1	-1	3
3	Frosinone	2	1	0	1	-2	3
4	Spezia	1	0	1	0	+0	1
5	Cagliari	1	0	1	0	+0	1
6	Virtus Entella	1	0	1	0	+0	1
7	Sampdoria	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Reggiana	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Verona	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Palermo	2	0	1	1	-1	1
11	Pisa	2	0	1	1	-1	1
12	Venezia	2	0	1	1	-4	1
13	Parma	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Milan	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Modena	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Catanzaro	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Rimini	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Avellino	1	0	0	1	-1	0
19	Empoli	1	0	0	1	-2	0
20	Sudtirol	1	0	0	1	-2	0
21	Pescara	1	0	0	1	-2	0
22	Udinese	1	0	0	1	-2	0
23	Carrarese	1	0	0	1	-2	0
24	Bari	1	0	0	1	-2	0
25	Juve Stabia	1	0	0	1	-2	0
26	Lecce	1	0	0	1	-3	0
27	Sassuolo	1	0	0	1	-3	0
28	Genoa	1	0	0	1	-4	0
29	Mantova	1	0	0	1	-4	0
30	Ternana	1	0	0	1	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.