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Coppa Italia

Referee: I Pezzuto

Juventus

S S S S T

2–1

Full-time

Monza

T S U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Juventus Monza

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

83%

50%

Points per game

2,5

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 34%

17%

50%

Average goals

2,3

2,8

Scored

1,5

1,8

Conceded

0,8

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,7

+0,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

39% Possession 61%

11 Shots 9

6 Shots on target 3

3 Blocked shots 3

2 Goalkeeper saves 3

2 Corners 9

3 Offside 0

8 Free kicks against 14

0 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Torino	3	3	0	0	+8	9
2	Cremonese	3	2	1	0	+3	7
3	Bari	3	2	0	1	+5	6
4	Spezia	3	2	0	1	+3	6
5	Monza	2	2	0	0	+2	6
6	Parma	3	2	0	1	+2	6
7	Modena	3	2	0	1	+1	6
8	Genoa	3	2	0	1	+1	6
9	Bologna	3	2	0	1	+1	6
10	Ascoli	2	1	1	0	+1	4
11	Sampdoria	3	1	1	1	+0	4
12	Atalanta	1	1	0	0	+3	3
13	Brescia	2	1	0	1	+1	3
14	FeralpiSalo	2	1	0	1	+1	3
15	Inter	1	1	0	0	+1	3
16	Fiorentina	1	1	0	0	+1	3
17	Roma	1	1	0	0	+1	3
18	Lazio	1	1	0	0	+1	3
19	Udinese	2	1	0	1	+0	3
20	Cagliari	2	1	0	1	+0	3
21	Spal	2	1	0	1	+0	3
22	Palermo	2	1	0	1	-2	3
23	Cittadella	2	1	0	1	-3	3
24	Napoli	1	0	1	0	+0	1
25	Perugia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
26	Benevento	1	0	0	1	-1	0
27	Lecce	1	0	0	1	-1	0
28	Venezia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
29	Frosinone	1	0	0	1	-1	0
30	Ternana	1	0	0	1	-1	0
31	Reggiana	1	0	0	1	-1	0
32	Sassuolo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
33	Empoli	1	0	0	1	-1	0
34	Milan	1	0	0	1	-1	0
35	Reggina	1	0	0	1	-1	0
36	Cosenza	1	0	0	1	-1	0
37	Sudtirol	1	0	0	1	-2	0
38	Catanzaro	1	0	0	1	-2	0
39	Salernitana	1	0	0	1	-2	0
40	Verona	1	0	0	1	-3	0
41	Pisa	1	0	0	1	-3	0
42	Padova	1	0	0	1	-3	0
43	Como	1	0	0	1	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Torino	2	2	0	0	+7	6
2	Spezia	2	2	0	0	+6	6
3	Cremonese	2	2	0	0	+3	6
4	Modena	2	2	0	0	+3	6
5	Genoa	2	2	0	0	+2	6
6	Bologna	2	2	0	0	+2	6
7	Sampdoria	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	Atalanta	1	1	0	0	+3	3
9	Bari	1	1	0	0	+3	3
10	Cagliari	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Monza	1	1	0	0	+1	3
12	Palermo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
13	Inter	1	1	0	0	+1	3
14	Parma	1	1	0	0	+1	3
15	Fiorentina	1	1	0	0	+1	3
16	Roma	1	1	0	0	+1	3
17	Lazio	1	1	0	0	+1	3
18	Udinese	2	1	0	1	+0	3
19	Napoli	1	0	1	0	+0	1
20	Lecce	1	0	0	1	-1	0
21	Venezia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
22	Empoli	1	0	0	1	-1	0
23	Milan	1	0	0	1	-1	0
24	Sudtirol	1	0	0	1	-2	0
25	Salernitana	1	0	0	1	-2	0
26	Verona	1	0	0	1	-3	0
27	Pisa	1	0	0	1	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ascoli	2	1	1	0	+1	4
2	Bari	2	1	0	1	+2	3
3	Brescia	2	1	0	1	+1	3
4	FeralpiSalo	2	1	0	1	+1	3
5	Monza	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Parma	2	1	0	1	+1	3
7	Torino	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Spal	2	1	0	1	+0	3
9	Cittadella	2	1	0	1	-3	3
10	Cremonese	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Perugia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
12	Benevento	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Frosinone	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Ternana	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Reggiana	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Sassuolo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Sampdoria	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Genoa	1	0	0	1	-1	0
19	Reggina	1	0	0	1	-1	0
20	Bologna	1	0	0	1	-1	0
21	Cagliari	1	0	0	1	-1	0
22	Cosenza	1	0	0	1	-1	0
23	Modena	1	0	0	1	-2	0
24	Catanzaro	1	0	0	1	-2	0
25	Spezia	1	0	0	1	-3	0
26	Palermo	1	0	0	1	-3	0
27	Padova	1	0	0	1	-3	0
28	Como	1	0	0	1	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.