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League Cup

Referee: T Reeves

Plymouth

S T T S T

3–0

Full-time

Cheltenham

T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Plymouth Cheltenham

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/4 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

1,2

0,0

Over 2.5 Ø 54%

33%

75%

Both score Ø 34%

17%

50%

Average goals

2,0

4,5

Scored

0,5

Conceded

1,5

4,0

Goal diff per game

-1,0

-3,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

70% Possession 30%

32 Shots 9

8 Shots on target 2

14 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 5

14 Corners 5

1 Offside 2

12 Free kicks against 17

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Blackburn	1	1	0	0	+5	3
2	Watford	1	1	0	0	+5	3
3	Blackpool	1	1	0	0	+4	3
4	Leyton Orient	1	1	0	0	+3	3
5	Huddersfield	1	1	0	0	+3	3
6	Tranmere	1	1	0	0	+3	3
7	Sheffield United	1	1	0	0	+2	3
8	Crawley Town	1	1	0	0	+2	3
9	Swansea	1	1	0	0	+2	3
10	Preston	1	1	0	0	+2	3
11	Cardiff	1	1	0	0	+2	3
12	Oxford	1	1	0	0	+2	3
13	Wycombe	1	1	0	0	+2	3
14	Doncaster	1	1	0	0	+2	3
15	Stoke	1	1	0	0	+2	3
16	Norwich	1	1	0	0	+1	3
17	Barrow	1	1	0	0	+1	3
18	Derby	1	1	0	0	+1	3
19	Rotherham	1	1	0	0	+1	3
20	Harrogate Town	1	1	0	0	+1	3
21	AFC Wimbledon	1	1	0	0	+1	3
22	Fleetwood Town	1	1	0	0	+1	3
23	QPR	1	1	0	0	+1	3
24	Birmingham	1	1	0	0	+1	3
25	Coventry	1	1	0	0	+1	3
26	Millwall	1	1	0	0	+1	3
27	Shrewsbury	1	0	1	0	+0	1
28	Notts County	1	0	1	0	+0	1
29	Colchester	1	0	1	0	+0	1
30	Reading	1	0	1	0	+0	1
31	Wigan	1	0	1	0	+0	1
32	Barnsley	1	0	1	0	+0	1
33	Bolton	1	0	1	0	+0	1
34	Mansfield Town	1	0	1	0	+0	1
35	Walsall	1	0	1	0	+0	1
36	Exeter City	1	0	1	0	+0	1
37	Grimsby	1	0	1	0	+0	1
38	Bradford	1	0	1	0	+0	1
39	Stevenage	1	0	0	1	-1	0
40	Port Vale	1	0	0	1	-1	0
41	Chesterfield	1	0	0	1	-1	0
42	Crewe	1	0	0	1	-1	0
43	Lincoln	1	0	0	1	-1	0
44	Bromley	1	0	0	1	-1	0
45	West Brom	1	0	0	1	-1	0
46	Cambridge United	1	0	0	1	-1	0
47	Charlton	1	0	0	1	-1	0
48	Bristol City	1	0	0	1	-1	0
49	Portsmouth	1	0	0	1	-1	0
50	Wrexham	1	0	0	1	-2	0
51	Swindon Town	1	0	0	1	-2	0
52	Gillingham	1	0	0	1	-2	0
53	Sunderland	1	0	0	1	-2	0
54	Bristol Rovers	1	0	0	1	-2	0
55	Peterborough	1	0	0	1	-2	0
56	Northampton	1	0	0	1	-2	0
57	Salford City	1	0	0	1	-2	0
58	Carlisle	1	0	0	1	-2	0
59	Newport County	1	0	0	1	-3	0
60	Morecambe	1	0	0	1	-3	0
61	Accrington ST	1	0	0	1	-3	0
62	Burton Albion	1	0	0	1	-4	0
63	Stockport County	1	0	0	1	-5	0
64	Milton Keynes Dons	1	0	0	1	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Watford	1	1	0	0	+5	3
2	Leyton Orient	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	Huddersfield	1	1	0	0	+3	3
4	Tranmere	1	1	0	0	+3	3
5	Sheffield United	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Crawley Town	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	Swansea	1	1	0	0	+2	3
8	Preston	1	1	0	0	+2	3
9	Cardiff	1	1	0	0	+2	3
10	Oxford	1	1	0	0	+2	3
11	Norwich	1	1	0	0	+1	3
12	Barrow	1	1	0	0	+1	3
13	Derby	1	1	0	0	+1	3
14	Rotherham	1	1	0	0	+1	3
15	Fleetwood Town	1	1	0	0	+1	3
16	Shrewsbury	1	0	1	0	+0	1
17	Colchester	1	0	1	0	+0	1
18	Wigan	1	0	1	0	+0	1
19	Bolton	1	0	1	0	+0	1
20	Walsall	1	0	1	0	+0	1
21	Grimsby	1	0	1	0	+0	1
22	Lincoln	1	0	0	1	-1	0
23	Bromley	1	0	0	1	-1	0
24	Cambridge United	1	0	0	1	-1	0
25	Charlton	1	0	0	1	-1	0
26	Bristol City	1	0	0	1	-1	0
27	Portsmouth	1	0	0	1	-1	0
28	Northampton	1	0	0	1	-2	0
29	Salford City	1	0	0	1	-2	0
30	Carlisle	1	0	0	1	-2	0
31	Burton Albion	1	0	0	1	-4	0
32	Stockport County	1	0	0	1	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Blackburn	1	1	0	0	+5	3
2	Blackpool	1	1	0	0	+4	3
3	Wycombe	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Doncaster	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Stoke	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Harrogate Town	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	AFC Wimbledon	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	QPR	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Birmingham	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Coventry	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Millwall	1	1	0	0	+1	3
12	Notts County	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Reading	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Barnsley	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Mansfield Town	1	0	1	0	+0	1
16	Exeter City	1	0	1	0	+0	1
17	Bradford	1	0	1	0	+0	1
18	Stevenage	1	0	0	1	-1	0
19	Port Vale	1	0	0	1	-1	0
20	Chesterfield	1	0	0	1	-1	0
21	Crewe	1	0	0	1	-1	0
22	West Brom	1	0	0	1	-1	0
23	Wrexham	1	0	0	1	-2	0
24	Swindon Town	1	0	0	1	-2	0
25	Gillingham	1	0	0	1	-2	0
26	Sunderland	1	0	0	1	-2	0
27	Bristol Rovers	1	0	0	1	-2	0
28	Peterborough	1	0	0	1	-2	0
29	Newport County	1	0	0	1	-3	0
30	Morecambe	1	0	0	1	-3	0
31	Accrington ST	1	0	0	1	-3	0
32	Milton Keynes Dons	1	0	0	1	-5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.