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League Cup
Referee: J Brooks
Leeds
U S S U S
3–1
Full-time
Barnsley
T T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Leeds Barnsley
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,8
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,0
2,7
Scored
1,7
0,5
Conceded
1,3
2,2
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-1,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

71% Possession 29%
11 Shots 6
4 Shots on target 2
1 Blocked shots 0
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
3 Corners 1
7 Free kicks against 13
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Blackburn 2 2 0 0 +5 6
2 Sheffield Weds 2 2 0 0 +5 6
3 Milton Keynes Dons 2 2 0 0 +3 6
4 Crawley Town 2 2 0 0 +3 6
5 Newport County 2 2 0 0 +2 6
6 Derby 2 2 0 0 +2 6
7 Stevenage 2 2 0 0 +2 6
8 Exeter City 2 1 1 0 +7 4
9 Lincoln 2 1 1 0 +3 4
10 Gillingham 2 1 1 0 +2 4
11 Charlton 2 1 1 0 +1 4
12 Morecambe 2 1 1 0 +1 4
13 Stockport County 2 1 1 0 +1 4
14 Bristol City 1 1 0 0 +3 3
15 Aston Villa 1 1 0 0 +3 3
16 Nott'm Forest 1 1 0 0 +3 3
17 Southampton 1 1 0 0 +3 3
18 Preston 2 1 0 1 +2 3
19 Portsmouth 2 1 0 1 +2 3
20 Forest Green 1 1 0 0 +2 3
21 Crystal Palace 1 1 0 0 +2 3
22 Brentford 1 1 0 0 +2 3
23 Bolton 2 1 0 1 +1 3
24 Grimsby 2 1 0 1 +1 3
25 Wycombe 1 1 0 0 +1 3
26 Walsall 2 1 0 1 +1 3
27 Peterborough 2 1 0 1 +1 3
28 Wolves 1 1 0 0 +1 3
29 Barnsley 1 1 0 0 +1 3
30 Burnley 1 1 0 0 +1 3
31 Everton 1 1 0 0 +1 3
32 Shrewsbury 2 1 0 1 +0 3
33 Bradford 2 1 0 1 +0 3
34 Rotherham 2 1 0 1 +0 3
35 Fleetwood Town 2 1 0 1 +0 3
36 West Brom 2 1 0 1 +0 3
37 Rochdale 2 1 0 1 -1 3
38 Colchester 2 1 0 1 -1 3
39 Cambridge United 2 1 0 1 -2 3
40 Norwich 2 0 2 0 +0 2
41 Barrow 2 0 2 0 +0 2
42 Birmingham 1 0 1 0 +0 1
43 Swansea 1 0 1 0 +0 1
44 Accrington ST 1 0 1 0 +0 1
45 Tranmere 1 0 1 0 +0 1
46 Bournemouth 1 0 1 0 +0 1
47 QPR 1 0 1 0 +0 1
48 Blackpool 1 0 1 0 +0 1
49 Stoke 1 0 1 0 +0 1
50 Leicester 1 0 1 0 +0 1
51 Oxford 2 0 1 1 -2 1
52 Carlisle 1 0 0 1 -1 0
53 Luton 1 0 0 1 -1 0
54 Northampton 1 0 0 1 -1 0
55 Hull 1 0 0 1 -1 0
56 Mansfield Town 1 0 0 1 -1 0
57 Reading 1 0 0 1 -1 0
58 Port Vale 1 0 0 1 -1 0
59 Millwall 1 0 0 1 -1 0
60 Ipswich 1 0 0 1 -1 0
61 Wigan 1 0 0 1 -1 0
62 Sutton Utd 1 0 0 1 -1 0
63 Bristol Rovers 1 0 0 1 -1 0
64 Harrogate Town 1 0 0 1 -1 0
65 Middlesbrough 1 0 0 1 -1 0
66 Sheffield United 1 0 0 1 -1 0
67 AFC Wimbledon 1 0 0 1 -2 0
68 Burton Albion 1 0 0 1 -2 0
69 Swindon Town 1 0 0 1 -2 0
70 Leyton Orient 1 0 0 1 -2 0
71 Sunderland 1 0 0 1 -2 0
72 Plymouth 1 0 0 1 -2 0
73 Watford 1 0 0 1 -2 0
74 Fulham 1 0 0 1 -2 0
75 Huddersfield 1 0 0 1 -3 0
76 Coventry 1 0 0 1 -3 0
77 Cardiff 1 0 0 1 -3 0
78 Doncaster 1 0 0 1 -3 0
79 Salford City 1 0 0 1 -4 0
80 Crewe 1 0 0 1 -4 0
81 Hartlepool 1 0 0 1 -4 0
82 Cheltenham 1 0 0 1 -7 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Leeds Barnsley
1–0 L. Sinisterra
21′
2–0 M. Klich
32′
35′
M. Andersen 2–1
J. Benson
43′
🟨 Callum Styles
Half-time 2–1
R. Koch 🔁
↦ Diego Llorente
46′
P. Struijk 🔁
↦ L. Cooper
46′
3–1 M. Klich
57′
Marc Roca 🔁
↦ L. Sinisterra
62′
63′
🔁 S. Tedić
↦ J. Norwood
63′
🔁 J. Williams
↦ J. Helliwell
63′
🔁 M. Wolfe
↦ C. Oduor
Cody Drameh 🟨
67′
67′
🟨 Liam Kitching
Leo Fuhr Hjelde 🟨
68′
Rodrigo 🔁
↦ J. Gelhardt
75′
D. James 🔁
↦ S. Greenwood
75′
80′
🔁 L. Connell
↦ J. Benson
80′
🔁 W. Hondermarck
↦ L. Thomas
81′
🟨 Jordan Williams
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Leeds

4-3-3
1 I. Meslier G
37 C. Drameh D
14 Diego Llorente D
6 L. Cooper D
33 L. Hjelde D
42 S. Greenwood M
4 A. Forshaw M
43 M. Klich M
10 C. Summerville F
30 J. Gelhardt F
23 L. Sinisterra F
Bench (9)
5 R. Koch
21 P. Struijk
8 Marc Roca
19 Rodrigo
20 D. James
7 B. Aaronson
11 J. Harrison
25 R. Kristensen
22 Joel Robles

Coach: J. Marsch

Barnsley

3-4-1-2
1 J. Walton G
21 C. McCarthy D
6 M. Andersen D
5 L. Kitching D
25 J. Helliwell M
4 C. Styles M
10 J. Benson M
22 C. Oduor M
16 L. Thomas F
44 D. Cole F
9 J. Norwood F
Bench (9)
31 S. Tedić
2 J. Williams
33 M. Wolfe
48 L. Connell
23 W. Hondermarck
40 B. Collins
19 A. Marsh
24 R. Cundy
27 J. Aitchison

Coach: M. Duff

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

J Brooks · 175 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.