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League Cup

Referee: A Young

Plymouth

0–2

Full-time

Peterborough

S S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

57% Possession 43%

16 Shots 12

4 Shots on target 3

5 Blocked shots 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 4

7 Corners 7

1 Offside 4

5 Free kicks against 13

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Exeter City	1	1	0	0	+7	3
2	Bolton	1	1	0	0	+4	3
3	Grimsby	1	1	0	0	+4	3
4	Preston	1	1	0	0	+3	3
5	Portsmouth	1	1	0	0	+3	3
6	Lincoln	1	1	0	0	+3	3
7	Gillingham	1	1	0	0	+2	3
8	Rochdale	1	1	0	0	+2	3
9	Walsall	1	1	0	0	+2	3
10	Forest Green	1	1	0	0	+2	3
11	Shrewsbury	1	1	0	0	+1	3
12	Newport County	1	1	0	0	+1	3
13	Wycombe	1	1	0	0	+1	3
14	Bradford	1	1	0	0	+1	3
15	Derby	1	1	0	0	+1	3
16	Stevenage	1	1	0	0	+1	3
17	Cambridge United	1	1	0	0	+1	3
18	Colchester	1	1	0	0	+1	3
19	Fleetwood Town	1	1	0	0	+1	3
20	Milton Keynes Dons	1	1	0	0	+1	3
21	Crawley Town	1	1	0	0	+1	3
22	Stockport County	1	1	0	0	+1	3
23	Norwich	1	0	1	0	+0	1
24	Birmingham	1	0	1	0	+0	1
25	Oxford	1	0	1	0	+0	1
26	Swansea	1	0	1	0	+0	1
27	Accrington ST	1	0	1	0	+0	1
28	Tranmere	1	0	1	0	+0	1
29	Charlton	1	0	1	0	+0	1
30	QPR	1	0	1	0	+0	1
31	Blackpool	1	0	1	0	+0	1
32	Barrow	1	0	1	0	+0	1
33	Morecambe	1	0	1	0	+0	1
34	Stoke	1	0	1	0	+0	1
35	Carlisle	1	0	0	1	-1	0
36	Luton	1	0	0	1	-1	0
37	Northampton	1	0	0	1	-1	0
38	Hull	1	0	0	1	-1	0
39	Mansfield Town	1	0	0	1	-1	0
40	Reading	1	0	0	1	-1	0
41	Millwall	1	0	0	1	-1	0
42	Ipswich	1	0	0	1	-1	0
43	Wigan	1	0	0	1	-1	0
44	Sutton Utd	1	0	0	1	-1	0
45	Bristol Rovers	1	0	0	1	-1	0
46	Harrogate Town	1	0	0	1	-1	0
47	AFC Wimbledon	1	0	0	1	-2	0
48	Burton Albion	1	0	0	1	-2	0
49	Swindon Town	1	0	0	1	-2	0
50	Leyton Orient	1	0	0	1	-2	0
51	Huddersfield	1	0	0	1	-3	0
52	Cardiff	1	0	0	1	-3	0
53	Doncaster	1	0	0	1	-3	0
54	Salford City	1	0	0	1	-4	0
55	Crewe	1	0	0	1	-4	0
56	Cheltenham	1	0	0	1	-7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bolton	1	1	0	0	+4	3
2	Grimsby	1	1	0	0	+4	3
3	Rochdale	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Walsall	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Forest Green	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Shrewsbury	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Bradford	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Cambridge United	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Fleetwood Town	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Milton Keynes Dons	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Crawley Town	1	1	0	0	+1	3
12	Norwich	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Oxford	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Accrington ST	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Charlton	1	0	1	0	+0	1
16	Blackpool	1	0	1	0	+0	1
17	Morecambe	1	0	1	0	+0	1
18	Luton	1	0	0	1	-1	0
19	Northampton	1	0	0	1	-1	0
20	Mansfield Town	1	0	0	1	-1	0
21	Reading	1	0	0	1	-1	0
22	Ipswich	1	0	0	1	-1	0
23	Harrogate Town	1	0	0	1	-1	0
24	AFC Wimbledon	1	0	0	1	-2	0
25	Huddersfield	1	0	0	1	-3	0
26	Cardiff	1	0	0	1	-3	0
27	Doncaster	1	0	0	1	-3	0
28	Cheltenham	1	0	0	1	-7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Exeter City	1	1	0	0	+7	3
2	Preston	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	Portsmouth	1	1	0	0	+3	3
4	Lincoln	1	1	0	0	+3	3
5	Gillingham	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Newport County	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Wycombe	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Derby	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Stevenage	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Colchester	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Stockport County	1	1	0	0	+1	3
12	Birmingham	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Swansea	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Tranmere	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	QPR	1	0	1	0	+0	1
16	Barrow	1	0	1	0	+0	1
17	Stoke	1	0	1	0	+0	1
18	Carlisle	1	0	0	1	-1	0
19	Hull	1	0	0	1	-1	0
20	Millwall	1	0	0	1	-1	0
21	Wigan	1	0	0	1	-1	0
22	Sutton Utd	1	0	0	1	-1	0
23	Bristol Rovers	1	0	0	1	-1	0
24	Burton Albion	1	0	0	1	-2	0
25	Swindon Town	1	0	0	1	-2	0
26	Leyton Orient	1	0	0	1	-2	0
27	Salford City	1	0	0	1	-4	0
28	Crewe	1	0	0	1	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Plymouth Peterborough

28′

⚽ R. Jones 0–1

J. Randall

Half-time 0–1

A. Randell 🔁

↦ M. Butcher

46′

James Wilson 🟨

49′

F. Azaz 🔁

↦ L. Jephcott

58′

M. Gillesphey 🔁

↦ B. Galloway

63′

Finn Azaz 🟨

67′

🔁 J. Taylor

↦ H. Kyprianou

68′

🔁 J. Ward

↦ D. Ajiboye

R. Hardie 🔁

↦ N. Ennis

72′

D. Mayor 🔁

↦ J. Houghton

73′

77′

🔁 G. Overton

↦ R. Jones

77′

🔁 B. Thompson

↦ J. Randall

89′

🟨 Josh Knight

93′

⚽ J. Taylor 0–2

G. Overton

Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Plymouth

3-4-2-1

M. Cooper G

5 J. Wilson D

21 N. Lonwijk D

22 B. Galloway D

8 J. Edwards M

4 J. Houghton M

7 M. Butcher M

42 J. Endacott M

M. Whittaker F

31 L. Jephcott F

11 N. Ennis F

Bench (9)

20 A. Randell

18 F. Azaz

3 M. Gillesphey

9 R. Hardie

10 D. Mayor

25 C. Burton

49 C. Roberts

6 D. Scarr

17 B. Mumba

Coach: S. Schumacher

Peterborough

3-4-1-2

L. Bergström G

J. Knight D

12 N. Thompson D

36 C. O'Connell D

19 D. Ajiboye M

H. Kyprianou M

7 J. Fuchs M

21 J. Tomlinson M

26 J. Randall F

27 J. Taylor F

R. Jones F

Bench (9)

8 J. Taylor

23 J. Ward

42 G. Overton

24 B. Thompson

14 J. Marriott

16 H. Burrows

40 W. Lakin

9 J. Clarke-Harris

4 R. Edwards

Coach: G. McCann

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2

–

🔒

–

🔒

B ✓

–

🔒

Over/under goals

O1,5 ✓

–

🔒

U1,5

–

🔒

O2,5

–

🔒

U2,5 ✓

–

🔒

O3,5

–

🔒

U3,5 ✓

–

🔒

Both teams to score

BLS ja

–

🔒

BLS nei ✓

–

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Recent matches

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The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.

How the model saw the match

How the model assessed the goals markets

Most likely result

Match stats

Match report

Line-ups

Plymouth

Peterborough

Odds comparison

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