Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Arendal
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Alta
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +11 | 3 |
| 2 |
Fredrikstad
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +10 | 3 |
| 3 |
Kongsvinger
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +8 | 3 |
| 4 |
Lillestrom
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +7 | 3 |
| 5 |
Stromsgodset
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +7 | 3 |
| 6 |
Bodo/Glimt
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +6 | 3 |
| 7 |
Tromso
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +6 | 3 |
| 8 |
Rosenborg
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +6 | 3 |
| 9 |
Tromsdalen Uil
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +5 | 3 |
| 10 |
Hønefoss
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +5 | 3 |
| 11 |
Molde
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +5 | 3 |
| 12 |
Ham-Kam
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +5 | 3 |
| 13 |
Viking
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +5 | 3 |
| 14 |
Sogndal
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 3 |
| 15 |
Træff
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 3 |
| 16 |
Sarpsborg 08
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 3 |
| 17 |
Levanger
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 3 |
| 18 |
Asane
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 3 |
| 19 |
Mjondalen
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 3 |
| 20 |
Ranheim
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 3 |
| 21 |
Junkeren
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 3 |
| 22 |
Valerenga
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 3 |
| 23 |
Bjarg
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 24 |
Vard
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 25 |
Strommen
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 26 |
Strindheim
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 27 |
Skjervøy
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 28 |
Frigg
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 29 |
Sandnes ULF
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 30 |
Oppsal
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 31 |
Odd
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 32 |
Stabaek
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 33 |
Frøya
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 34 |
Lysekloster
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 35 |
Aalesund
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 36 |
Jerv
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 37 |
Lyn
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 38 |
KFUM Oslo
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 39 |
Stjørdals-Blink
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 40 |
Kristiansund
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 41 |
Fløya
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 42 |
Fram
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 43 |
Ull/Kisa
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 44 |
Kjelsås
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 45 |
Egersund
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 46 |
Flekkerøy
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 47 |
Melhus
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 48 |
Pors Grenland
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 49 |
Stord
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| 50 |
Djerv
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| 51 |
Mandalskameratene
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| 52 |
Start
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| 53 |
Torvastad
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| 54 |
Haugesund
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| 55 |
Trygg/Lade
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 56 |
Brattvåg
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 57 |
Mjølner
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 58 |
Notodden
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 59 |
Lørenskog
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 60 |
Nordstrand
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 61 |
Vidar
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 62 |
Sandefjord
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 63 |
Byåsen
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 64 |
Hei
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 65 |
Sandviken
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 66 |
Madla
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 67 |
Gjelleråsen
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 68 |
Nardo
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 69 |
Bossekop
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 70 |
Grorud
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 71 |
Brodd
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 72 |
Follo
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 73 |
Åskollen
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 74 |
Asker
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 75 |
Os
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 76 |
Fana
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 77 |
Spjelkavik
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 78 |
Randesund
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 79 |
Heming
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 80 |
Årvoll
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 81 |
Fjøra
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 0 |
| 82 |
Ørn Horten
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 0 |
| 83 |
Tiller
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 0 |
| 84 |
Rana
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 0 |
| 85 |
Union Carl Berner
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 0 |
| 86 |
Førde
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4 | 0 |
| 87 |
Surnadal
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4 | 0 |
| 88 |
Sarpsborg
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4 | 0 |
| 89 |
Mosjøen
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4 | 0 |
| 90 |
Senja
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -5 | 0 |
| 91 |
Gjøvik-Lyn
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -5 | 0 |
| 92 |
Eide
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -5 | 0 |
| 93 |
Ridabu
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -5 | 0 |
| 94 |
Varhaug
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -5 | 0 |
| 95 |
Brønnøysund
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -6 | 0 |
| 96 |
Sortland
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -6 | 0 |
| 97 |
Sverresborg
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -6 | 0 |
| 98 |
Bjørkelangen
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -7 | 0 |
| 99 |
Hallingdal
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -7 | 0 |
| 100 |
Nybergsund
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -8 | 0 |
| 101 |
Drøbak / Frogn
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -10 | 0 |
| 102 |
Kirkenes
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -11 | 0 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.